TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No68c233,846$158,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,890.362035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes21c68,631$14,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,683.2317248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c56,306$18,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,170.284,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes33c39,789$13,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,130.373638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes31c31,875$9,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,894.3527453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes35c30,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No74c22,434$16,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.684247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes34c17,613$5,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,982.72955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21da…db76backed No66c17,060$11,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes32c16,396$5,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,246.7412551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes33c12,771$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.562365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes32c11,255$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.577762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes32c11,020$3,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.087445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No66c5,921$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.66544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c5,100$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.9525648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c4,903$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.3350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No67c4,897$3,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.067653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No67c4,192$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.915750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes32c3,918$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.1528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No67c3,511$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.2829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes35c3,429$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c3,215$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.2940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c3,085$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No65c3,080$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.713438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No67c3,048$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.939450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c2,800$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98012050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes34c2,777$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c2,212$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.353,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes37c2,182$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes32c2,076$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.345253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No65c2,059$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9414854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c2,050$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Yes35c1,998$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No66c1,550$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.56250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No65c1,518$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.773250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes33c1,502$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No66c1,484$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No65c1,342$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No68c1,306$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.88977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes34c1,224$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.222611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92ed…73c4backed No68c1,198$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d2…8fd6backed Yes33c1,195$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ad…2b6bbacked Yes36c1,179$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes36c1,112$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes28c1,059$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-65.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes34c1,048$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No65c999.98$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.994141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No65c969$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.156860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes35c946$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.16035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes33c922.33$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3711140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes33c785.42$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.194528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No66c757.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5710956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No66c602.94$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No67c599.97$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9914348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No71c583.06$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.65046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes35c564.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes27c524.72$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.16235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes34c514.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes35c462.73$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.674330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes26c446.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.667525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No67c444$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.529542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes35c430.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes10c398$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No65c384.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.461936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c360$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Yes33c347.88$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes27c347.41$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes34c341.29$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.042934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes33c299.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes25c296.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes34c295.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes36c294.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-61.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c270$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No66c257.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7115851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes36c256.83$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes35c245.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes33c241.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8614540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…06f9backed Yes34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes32c230$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No67c227.52$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.089353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No67c216.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0517155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f6…4230backed Yes35c200.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.