La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65903292260b6dbfe141fa9ecde0e129e22db50b2eed1e7c23a8ef940a1fe751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21da…db76backed No | 70c | 36,005$25,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,024.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 30c | 20,510$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,356.71 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 17,954$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,478.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…e054backed Yes | 29c | 10,001$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 9,493$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.89 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 69c | 7,681$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.89 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…b3aabacked No | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…7efabacked No | 71c | 2,960$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…69a8backed No | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,045$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.36 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 43c | 2,018$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,825$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.65 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed No | 72c | 1,408$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…6abebacked No | 72c | 1,407$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 1,342$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.02 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 40c | 1,281$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 1,205$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.61 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 48c | 1,040$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.2 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 34c | 744.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 547.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 60c | 247.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 70c | 245.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 30c | 216$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…eec9backed Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 162$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed No | 53c | 161.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Yes | 63c | 159.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 72c | 108.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 29c | 92.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed No | 73c | 90.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…e1b3backed Yes | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 29c | 69.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…933ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…3859backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 61.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619b…6b49backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…37babacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 71c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked No | 72c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?No won
- Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.