Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e5c63e5f3b25bd806321bc7717c96b78e5bb8455e7bb65cbc7cd8afc3bf983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,101$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 36c | 836.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 64c | 748.32$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.27 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 36c | 742.68$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 67c | 712.68$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.97 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed No | 53c | 562.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 47c | 541.87$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 441.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 413.37$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 385.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 62c | 381.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 57c | 348.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 321.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 65c | 303.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 58c | 270.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 270.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 45c | 262.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 227.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cae…d2aebacked Yes | 64c | 224.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 62c | 220.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 30c | 203.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…fec5backed Yes | 75c | 189.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006e…59dbbacked No | 56c | 180.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 178.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 170.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 77c | 160.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 150.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 67c | 148.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 27c | 147.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 41c | 144.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 25c | 141.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 141$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 51c | 116.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 52c | 111.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 68c | 110.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 77c | 108.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 59c | 105.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 102$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 97.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 54c | 94.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 88.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 64c | 87.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 55c | 85.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 83.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed No | 62c | 80.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 37c | 79.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 79.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 54c | 78.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 53c | 77.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 34c | 76.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 75.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 74.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 72.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 71.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…87b5backed Yes | 28c | 71.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 64c | 70.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 33c | 69.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 57c | 66.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ca…f855backed Yes | 38c | 65.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…fc29backed No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 33c | 64.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed No | 47c | 63.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 35c | 63.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 37c | 62.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 61.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 69c | 61.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 60.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 42c | 59.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 62c | 58.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…9235backed Yes | 57c | 52.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…3289backed Yes | 46c | 52.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 66c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 37c | 50.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…48f4backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.