CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6017adaa0eeec053ac8ad9ad29556728bdf306512ef2cc21b3878e5925996dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,200,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,321,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,200,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked NIP | 23c | 207,853$48,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,444.51 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Liquid | 67c | 38,291$25,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,473.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 72c | 36,576$26,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.81 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…0313backed Liquid | 75c | 33,321$24,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,330.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 68c | 32,481$21,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed NIP | 38c | 26,889$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.39 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed NIP | 54c | 26,474$14,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,231.74 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Liquid | 46c | 23,800$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,851.99 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid | 60c | 22,934$13,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204.09 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Liquid | 49c | 22,673$11,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,524.92 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked NIP | 54c | 21,856$11,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,802.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Liquid | 77c | 19,550$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.76 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed NIP | 25c | 18,882$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.52 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 61c | 15,591$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 45c | 15,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.95 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed NIP | 1c | 13,435$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Liquid | 54c | 11,968$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.42 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NIP | 39c | 11,545$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.2 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 65c | 10,431$6,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 70c | 10,067$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Liquid | 77c | 10,001$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed NIP | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Liquid | 55c | 9,247$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.84 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP | 45c | 8,817$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.13 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked NIP | 37c | 8,778$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.02 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked NIP | 0c | 7,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NIP | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid | 44c | 7,460$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Liquid | 69c | 7,315$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked NIP | 56c | 7,103$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.42 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked NIP | 37c | 6,804$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.61 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Liquid | 47c | 6,567$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.02 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Liquid | 50c | 6,524$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Liquid | 72c | 6,438$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.68 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked NIP | 55c | 6,413$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.73 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Liquid | 46c | 6,345$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.43 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Liquid | 55c | 6,046$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.46 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed NIP | 55c | 5,798$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.04 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Liquid | 47c | 5,711$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.32 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liquid | 57c | 5,340$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.96 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Liquid | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Liquid | 73c | 4,801$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.25 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed NIP | 54c | 4,790$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed NIP | 51c | 4,532$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…b1aebacked Liquid | 45c | 4,308$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…1ad7backed Liquid | 47c | 4,267$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Liquid | 46c | 4,220$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.91 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 57c | 4,195$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.27 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Liquid | 48c | 4,070$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.37 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…bbe4backed NIP | 47c | 4,060$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed NIP | 42c | 3,873$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.34 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Liquid | 52c | 3,871$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.59 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked NIP | 50c | 3,444$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.68 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Liquid | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked NIP | 33c | 3,196$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.01 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 30c | 3,173$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.43 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Liquid | 53c | 3,092$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.95 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed Liquid | 28c | 3,030$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 50c | 3,001$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.05 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP | 60c | 2,931$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.13 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed NIP | 52c | 2,710$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.4 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Liquid | 45c | 2,700$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.99 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Liquid | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 46c | 2,483$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed NIP | 53c | 2,481$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.34 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NIP | 48c | 2,290$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.1 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed NIP | 35c | 2,288$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Liquid | 70c | 2,269$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…c9c6backed NIP | 55c | 2,212$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Liquid | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Liquid | 70c | 2,173$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Liquid | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked NIP | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked NIP | 52c | 2,000$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.29 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Liquid | 46c | 1,989$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.13 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed NIP | 41c | 1,961$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed NIP | 56c | 1,960$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.53 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed NIP | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Liquid | 61c | 1,839$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.32 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Liquid | 56c | 1,833$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.55 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Liquid | 64c | 1,749$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP | 53c | 1,661$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.41 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked NIP | 43c | 1,551$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.28 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked NIP | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed NIP | 25c | 1,475$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.33 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed NIP | 18c | 1,400$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked NIP | 42c | 1,368$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.56 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 22c | 1,340$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Liquid | 59c | 1,306$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed NIP | 38c | 1,300$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…ac75backed Liquid | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…a095backed NIP | 48c | 1,248$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed NIP | 43c | 1,214$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.4 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed NIP | 26c | 1,210$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed NIP | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.95 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed NIP | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Liquid | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed NIP | 43c | 1,185$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Liquid | 46c | 1,128$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.62 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Liquid | 63c | 1,082$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5)Liquid won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.