CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c97b835872f5e5d1be7b6afb90457bdb8d1bb980563fc7ce4adcae4df528c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 48c | 6,947$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.63 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 45c | 3,002$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under | 52c | 1,339$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 57c | 1,156$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.33 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 52c | 1,052$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 994.52$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 38c | 932.4$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 55c | 916.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Under | 23c | 770.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 670.77$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.39 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c83…53dcbacked Over | 44c | 435.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Under | 62c | 370.17$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 44c | 321.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 265.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 47c | 202.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 31c | 152.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 43c | 71.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 41c | 64.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 44c | 61.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b0…8090backed Over | 54c | 48.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 47c | 47.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Over | 70c | 46.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Under | 46c | 43.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Over | 47c | 42.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Under | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 76c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…966cbacked Over | 54c | 18.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5)Liquid won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.