MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304e1eac16525a7448e58154142a481708da40b1e037f4b7ae5411c66df6f683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Pirates, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Pirates | 48c | 203,188$97,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,530.2 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 52c | 59,932$31,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,767.55 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Orioles | 52c | 45,280$23,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,734.3 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 52c | 41,782$21,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,055.51 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Pirates | 55c | 36,041$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 33c | 35,248$11,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,761.33 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Orioles | 55c | 30,091$16,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,670.84 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 49c | 30,060$14,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,446.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 52c | 21,797$11,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,462.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 52c | 18,571$9,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,914.33 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Orioles | 52c | 18,493$9,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pirates | 48c | 16,500$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 52c | 13,588$7,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510.29 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 58c | 13,035$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,534.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Orioles | 52c | 10,943$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.21 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 43c | 10,748$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.6 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Orioles | 52c | 10,394$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.32 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Pirates | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Orioles | 61c | 8,360$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.78 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Pirates | 43c | 8,247$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 53c | 7,500$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Pirates | 47c | 7,405$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 54c | 6,680$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 51c | 6,259$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.87 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 26c | 5,957$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.69 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Orioles | 52c | 5,844$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 46c | 5,800$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 40c | 5,713$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 59c | 4,600$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Pirates | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Orioles | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 47c | 3,750$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.32 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Orioles | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.94 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 64c | 3,360$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.38 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pirates | 44c | 3,111$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.95 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 47c | 2,727$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.76 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Orioles | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 55c | 2,505$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.97 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 56c | 2,230$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 49c | 2,194$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Orioles | 52c | 2,152$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.96 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Pirates | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,988$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.42 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Orioles | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 53c | 1,575$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.47 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Pirates | 33c | 1,557$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.73 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 38c | 1,390$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Orioles | 60c | 1,375$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.19 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,328$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.16 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Pirates | 23c | 1,262$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Pirates | 39c | 1,247$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pirates | 40c | 1,147$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Pirates | 44c | 1,105$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Orioles | 56c | 1,077$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9c67backed Orioles | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,059$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…021cbacked Pirates | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 50c | 1,016$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Orioles | 51c | 1,002$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.29 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Pirates | 49c | 887.76$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 43c | 799.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Orioles | 52c | 740.62$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 29c | 728.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 49c | 721.51$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 56c | 714$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 53c | 707.49$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 55c | 697$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…80a4backed Orioles | 50c | 651.97$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Pirates | 33c | 651.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.93 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 42c | 600.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Orioles | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Orioles | 57c | 592.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 51c | 575.24$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 45c | 526.37$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.71 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 45c | 500.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Orioles | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Orioles | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Orioles | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Orioles | 56c | 499.83$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Pirates | 41c | 487.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Orioles | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Orioles | 53c | 471.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 65c | 460.16$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Pirates | 46c | 435.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Orioles | 80c | 427.2$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Pirates | 49c | 424.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Pirates | 48c | 422.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 26c | 421.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Pirates | 51c | 389.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Orioles | 52c | 376.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Pirates | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Orioles | 56c | 360.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Orioles | 56c | 349.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Orioles | 46c | 342.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Oriolesthis page
- NRFI: Pirates vs. OriolesNo won
- Pirates vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Orioles (-1.5)Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.