TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Dodgers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa983…46a3backed Giants58c105,489$61,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,171.9711345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Giants50c58,356$29,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,896.715353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers52c48,428$25,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,184.452,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers43c38,185$16,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,262.8738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers53c32,044$17,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,141.511,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants45c25,665$11,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,171.491,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers46c20,049$9,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,263.2830842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Dodgers57c19,904$11,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,345.3538043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants57c17,253$9,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,456.6148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers31c15,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60014648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Dodgers43c14,966$6,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,454.5378445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants50c6,272$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.081,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants57c5,474$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Dodgers38c5,056$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9002650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Giants41c5,011$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.463145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dodgers37c4,036$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.9396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants40c3,735$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.1473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Dodgers59c3,601$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.593743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Giants52c3,172$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.8321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers43c3,019$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.2876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Dodgers56c2,500$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40513247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Giants44c2,380$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers49c2,369$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants41c2,353$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.012,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Giants55c2,285$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.032176.2%16 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+78.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants41c2,084$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.4863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers53c1,996$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Giants42c1,916$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.061,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Giants57c1,746$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.264057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants40c1,334$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.3950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers48c1,266$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.61,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers46c1,250$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.434,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Dodgers59c1,230$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.75451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants42c1,142$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.521,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Giants44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3610451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Giants57c1,103$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.314656.5%26 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Giants43c1,055$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants44c1,028$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.56,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers47c1,015$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Dodgers43c1,005$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Dodgers24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Dodgers35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Giants43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5709349.5%46 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Giants40c970.98$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.5912436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers56c963.36$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Giants76c945.31$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.872347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Giants42c940$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.220748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants55c902.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9325551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers44c869.93$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Giants53c864.79$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0714055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants42c844.67$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9130255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Dodgers31c800.64$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24712248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Giants40c774$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Giants41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4135658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Giants43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Dodgers60c667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.217045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers58c603.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Dodgers49c600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2414328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Giants43c589.81$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.191,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers58c563$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.541,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Giants66c538.13$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4521656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Giants56c528.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7520747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Dodgers59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants40c500.47$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.591,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Dodgers56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Giants57c493.18$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.079757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Giants42c476.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.297244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants79c458.18$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Dodgers58c442.6$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.719651%49 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Giants53c430.91$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…59e4backed Dodgers38c400$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Dodgers22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8824250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants46c377.13$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8851334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Dodgers58c350.16$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0913149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Dodgers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Dodgers51c324.32$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7916053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Dodgers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.460052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5eb…a8eebacked Giants47c292.13$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…66ebbacked Dodgers57c281.88$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Dodgers58c280$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.418649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Giants58c264.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.51154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Giants40c260$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.433140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Dodgers58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Giants41c246$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.145238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb239…fe10backed Dodgers56c243.13$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.921250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers60c238.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Giants72c234.86$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7610255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Dodgers54c233$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.824346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants43c228.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.071,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Dodgers47c226.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10711637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants50c225.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.