Euroleague · resolved market
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Slovenia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301f407da18896bb9aa24421af3cc1fd9187c328fb0be6586cbbf83f7c0660d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Germanyof Germany, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Germany | 53c | 19,045$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Slovenia | 32c | 9,803$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.73 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Germany | 65c | 8,573$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.89 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…ac71backed Slovenia | 31c | 5,463$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Slovenia | 23c | 3,120$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Slovenia | 14c | 3,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Germany | 73c | 2,936$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Slovenia | 14c | 2,861$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Slovenia | 18c | 2,392$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Slovenia | 16c | 1,736$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Germany | 67c | 1,441$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Germany | 71c | 1,213$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Slovenia | 16c | 1,031$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Slovenia | 47c | 862.93$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Slovenia | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Germany | 75c | 605.7$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Slovenia | 17c | 590.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Germany | 77c | 545$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Slovenia | 16c | 510.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Germany | 70c | 472.94$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Germany | 50c | 404$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Germany | 64c | 397.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Slovenia | 15c | 384$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Germany | 59c | 380.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Germany | 61c | 342.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Germany | 43c | 325$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Germany | 61c | 303$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed Slovenia | 30c | 270.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Germany | 76c | 262.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Slovenia | 36c | 222.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Germany | 59c | 214.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Germany | 63c | 213.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Slovenia | 30c | 201.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Germany | 62c | 201.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Slovenia | 32c | 180.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Slovenia | 34c | 174.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Germany | 56c | 162.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…f77cbacked Slovenia | 17c | 161.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…aa43backed Slovenia | 22c | 160.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Germany | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…05f2backed Slovenia | 32c | 149.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Slovenia | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Slovenia | 37c | 119.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Germany | 66c | 106.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Germany | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Slovenia | 47c | 104.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Germany | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Germany | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed Slovenia | 16c | 94.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Germany | 66c | 86.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Germany | 68c | 83.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…5251backed Slovenia | 18c | 81.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Germany | 77c | 78.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Slovenia | 13c | 77.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Germany | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…e80cbacked Slovenia | 15c | 75.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Slovenia | 33c | 53.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Germany | 42c | 46.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Slovenia | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…5b74backed Slovenia | 51c | 38.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Germany | 62c | 37.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Germany | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Slovenia | 34c | 34.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…fb3bbacked Germany | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…5301backed Germany | 73c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Germany | 75c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.