MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9449525331c726bc7dec0dc6210638e55c88b51bc3ecf7b5c5f038075ab271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 50c | 68,122$33,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,861.47 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 57c | 41,145$23,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,465.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 50c | 36,034$18,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,016.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rays | 50c | 20,000$9,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,011.12 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 11c | 16,936$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.54 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rays | 50c | 11,546$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.23 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 50c | 10,004$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Rays | 63c | 10,000$6,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cubs | 50c | 7,597$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.5 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Rays | 50c | 7,523$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.5 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 38c | 6,031$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.95 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rays | 50c | 5,735$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.69 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cubs | 50c | 5,629$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.61 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 51c | 4,980$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rays | 51c | 4,918$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.62 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.55 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rays | 46c | 3,843$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.9 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Cubs | 53c | 3,756$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 43c | 3,564$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.83 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cubs | 49c | 3,523$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.15 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Cubs | 48c | 2,503$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.04 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Cubs | 50c | 2,318$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.89 | 196 | 56.1%110 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cubs | 69c | 2,043$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.42 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Rays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rays | 50c | 1,898$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.22 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 41c | 1,524$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.73 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 38c | 1,510$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Cubs | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 23c | 1,352$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.03 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rays | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 48c | 1,017$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.95 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 49c | 976.7$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 19c | 936.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 51c | 918$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 49c | 822.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.49 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 51c | 785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.65 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 52c | 749.93$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 49c | 724.67$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.88 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 51c | 681.55$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 49c | 623.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.03 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cubs | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 49c | 594.52$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Rays | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Cubs | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 51c | 574.51$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.51 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 51c | 549.98$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 46c | 534.95$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.87 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 41c | 504.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rays | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Rays | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Cubs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 39c | 482$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Cubs | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Cubs | 51c | 478.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Cubs | 39c | 440$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 47c | 425$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Rays | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cubs | 51c | 417.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 50c | 408$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 67c | 398.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cubs | 52c | 394.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Rays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cubs | 30c | 309.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 50c | 303.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Cubs | 46c | 294.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Cubs | 70c | 287.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Rays | 74c | 272.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cubs | 51c | 269$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cubs | 51c | 254.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 49c | 251.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 49c | 247$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 46c | 245.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Rays | 61c | 241.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Rays | 70c | 213.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cubs | 52c | 200.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rays | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Cubsthis page
- Rays vs. Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.