South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82db9bfc0df3eb59d33408bc851c825d3a5a293da62eb76ed9851053939772b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 12,126$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.49 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…ec3fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,770$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.93 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 10c | 2,593$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 2,415$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 1,864$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.86 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 69c | 1,780$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.16 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 65c | 1,243$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 1,232$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 30c | 1,197$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.87 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 43c | 1,159$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 27c | 1,140$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 69c | 1,132$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.03 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 9c | 1,055$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed Yes | 2c | 951.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes | 11c | 878.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed No | 62c | 806.43$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.13 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 15c | 671.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 523.6$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 9c | 496.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 55c | 370.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 9c | 367.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 365.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 25c | 339.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 79c | 309.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 13c | 305.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…4e96backed Yes | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 248.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 9c | 230.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…17a6backed Yes | 45c | 201.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 9c | 199.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 57c | 171.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 10c | 160.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 157.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 52c | 156.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 10c | 155.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Yes | 12c | 143.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 50c | 137.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 9c | 132.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Yes | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…d1b0backed Yes | 12c | 122.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed No | 56c | 122.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 33c | 114.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 70c | 98.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 93.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 90.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 74.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 71c | 66.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 36c | 65.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…1c1abacked Yes | 44c | 59.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…a30fbacked Yes | 31c | 58.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…07b9backed Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 69c | 51.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 79c | 50.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…57bbbacked Yes | 21c | 49.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 46.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…bacabacked Yes | 45c | 45.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 72c | 37.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 37c | 33.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 74c | 30.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed No | 63c | 26.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 69c | 24.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.