South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc202dda875088a1bea17f3ab4dd29b7f57772a12b96a862585ff05ae6276b699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 4,168$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.18 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 3,525$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 20c | 3,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 1,874$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.91 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 75c | 1,306$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,302$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,278$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 36c | 1,170$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 19c | 1,105$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 964.12$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.04 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 576.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed No | 69c | 429.17$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 70c | 384.11$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 36c | 324.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 20c | 312.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 297.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 278.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 28c | 269.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 238.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 215.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 210.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 195.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 79c | 187.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 21c | 168.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 166.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 36c | 149.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 143.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 70c | 129.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 109.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 23c | 103.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 73c | 101.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…5fbbbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 20c | 99.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 32c | 98.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 67c | 97.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 21c | 95.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 80.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 79.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 73c | 79.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…57bbbacked Yes | 14c | 74.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 36c | 58.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 29c | 52.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Yes | 25c | 51.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 80c | 51.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 80c | 46.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…feb5backed Yes | 22c | 46.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d21fbacked Yes | 40c | 44.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…bcc3backed Yes | 28c | 43.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 42c | 40.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…97ebbacked No | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 67c | 31.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 78c | 30.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 75c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 64c | 27.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked No | 65c | 25.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 62c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…66e6backed No | 74c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.