World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e084f7ef784233a8f42ce3bc24826b958798bca1dbf009bbe169535cf2a170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 35c | 35,767$12,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,149.88 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 30c | 15,349$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,671.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…ab64backed No | 71c | 13,484$9,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,610.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 58c | 10,404$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked No | 68c | 8,180$5,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,563.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 62c | 6,852$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.57 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 48c | 4,709$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7b4abacked No | 59c | 3,418$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…a72bbacked No | 55c | 2,659$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…0450backed No | 71c | 2,394$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 67c | 2,300$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,124$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.48 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 2,100$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,455$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed No | 58c | 1,373$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,212$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.08 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,096$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 64c | 1,069$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.89 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 1,007$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 59c | 1,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.36 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…2a37backed Yes | 39c | 939.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.86 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 931.05$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.88 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 40c | 826.34$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.85 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 70c | 793.08$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 39c | 775.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a1…fc31backed No | 75c | 726.97$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 42c | 690$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Yes | 42c | 683$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 68c | 498.36$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 39c | 485.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.27 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 56c | 450$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 71c | 420$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 71c | 420$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…c15ebacked No | 76c | 388.16$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 369.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 31c | 348.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.45 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 59c | 315.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…3587backed Yes | 38c | 312.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 60c | 308.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…9713backed Yes | 49c | 304.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…746fbacked Yes | 25c | 300.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…252ebacked Yes | 41c | 295.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…f164backed Yes | 35c | 275.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 45c | 270.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 24c | 263.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 33c | 262$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 64c | 261.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 32c | 228.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 207.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 15c | 203.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…2059backed Yes | 50c | 197.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 39c | 193.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 26c | 183.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 183.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yes | 30c | 173.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 31c | 173.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 68c | 171$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…a23fbacked No | 59c | 170.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 77c | 161$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 38c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…8357backed No | 62c | 145.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 42c | 140.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…5f26backed No | 76c | 137.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 26c | 125$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 124.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 122.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…02bbbacked No | 57c | 115.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…c2d8backed Yes | 33c | 105.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes | 25c | 105$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 26c | 100.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…9943backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +46%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…8b67backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…3f04backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…aaa7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…1c45backed Yes | 43c | 92.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 88.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 70c | 85.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…089fbacked No | 61c | 76.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 66c | 75.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b3…4dcbbacked Yes | 28c | 72.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 70c | 71.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 68.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 67.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…c518backed Yes | 33c | 65.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.