World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6477b06fc6554ae4e4309345468140b7e18ca04e4d635068845179485fca32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb06b…d199backed Yes | 9c | 4,666$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…aababacked Yes | 8c | 4,353$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…4938backed Yes | 8c | 4,035$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494d…92d8backed Yes | 8c | 3,944$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…6717backed Yes | 13c | 3,906$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…a797backed Yes | 7c | 3,318$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae2…1adebacked Yes | 8c | 3,223$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…2c30backed Yes | 8c | 2,762$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…a028backed Yes | 8c | 2,707$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 6c | 2,570$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…4a47backed Yes | 7c | 2,449$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…1eddbacked Yes | 8c | 2,448$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…0e47backed Yes | 8c | 2,394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…26a0backed Yes | 16c | 2,224$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…66b7backed Yes | 8c | 2,217$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…138cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,208$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…ec51backed Yes | 8c | 2,182$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…59cabacked Yes | 8c | 2,167$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bbcbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,149$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…08c2backed Yes | 8c | 2,091$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…495bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,071$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…d661backed Yes | 7c | 2,017$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…188bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,987$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…4120backed Yes | 9c | 1,985$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…43dabacked Yes | 9c | 1,930$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…0ef2backed Yes | 9c | 1,925$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…fcacbacked Yes | 9c | 1,858$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…df61backed Yes | 8c | 1,856$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…44b4backed Yes | 9c | 1,852$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…35d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,832$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…416fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,608$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…fe1dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,573$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…4eaebacked Yes | 9c | 1,570$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…afc5backed Yes | 7c | 1,541$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…4f23backed Yes | 8c | 1,463$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…80d1backed Yes | 8c | 1,424$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…0df8backed Yes | 8c | 1,316$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…fcf0backed Yes | 8c | 1,296$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…27edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,277$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd66…0755backed Yes | 8c | 1,213$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0964backed Yes | 8c | 1,144$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…7ceebacked Yes | 9c | 1,126$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe8…9040backed Yes | 8c | 1,110$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…4475backed Yes | 9c | 1,089$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…5652backed Yes | 8c | 1,086$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…33a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,083$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…0b21backed Yes | 8c | 1,065$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…28eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…8664backed Yes | 11c | 1,011$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…f0f1backed Yes | 5c | 919.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…d160backed Yes | 8c | 902$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133f…ebbebacked Yes | 9c | 900$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…64acbacked Yes | 9c | 891$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…2389backed Yes | 8c | 886$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…729bbacked Yes | 9c | 842$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…91d5backed Yes | 8c | 803$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…2f62backed Yes | 7c | 771$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…1498backed Yes | 9c | 765$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…0352backed Yes | 9c | 762$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9c…0f14backed Yes | 9c | 746$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…a54abacked Yes | 9c | 732$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31b…4648backed Yes | 8c | 721$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…b746backed Yes | 7c | 713$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…fdd1backed Yes | 8c | 686$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…fee1backed Yes | 8c | 659$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…f1cebacked Yes | 9c | 656$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…803dbacked Yes | 8c | 651$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…f3dbbacked Yes | 9c | 639$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…1a70backed Yes | 9c | 626$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…c5c6backed Yes | 7c | 612$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…9f2ebacked Yes | 9c | 599$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…57e1backed Yes | 5c | 564.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…e071backed Yes | 9c | 544.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…c9d4backed Yes | 7c | 540$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…295fbacked Yes | 9c | 503$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…9ffabacked Yes | 9c | 479$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…3955backed Yes | 9c | 446$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…e206backed Yes | 9c | 418$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…0fecbacked Yes | 7c | 413$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…d38fbacked Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab2…94cbbacked Yes | 7c | 373$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 9c | 355.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…6f2cbacked Yes | 6c | 345.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 36cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 292.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 9c | 286.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 277.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…ed75backed Yes | 9c | 243$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…c5fdbacked Yes | 8c | 238.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…af7abacked Yes | 9c | 232.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 5c | 229.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 7c | 223.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…fd89backed Yes | 10c | 198.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d467backed Yes | 5c | 193.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…7a26backed Yes | 8c | 187$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 7c | 161.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72dc…cf85backed Yes | 8c | 151$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…3e7bbacked Yes | 9c | 117$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.