Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd0bc105a3c353dcbb26e83b3451c9dad4cd94b581a9431a7dcaf5013431e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GG Boomof GG Boom, Ignite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Ignite | 31c | 1,325$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.96 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed GG Boom | 56c | 1,115$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.36 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked GG Boom | 70c | 999.23$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.77 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ignite | 50c | 986.15$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.07 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GG Boom | 70c | 858.42$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Ignite | 29c | 648.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed GG Boom | 68c | 638.21$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked GG Boom | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ignite | 50c | 484.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked GG Boom | 57c | 447.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ignite | 45c | 390.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ignite | 47c | 364.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Ignite | 30c | 330.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Ignite | 53c | 329.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Ignite | 61c | 326.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Ignite | 55c | 300.01$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…1b2cbacked Ignite | 39c | 274.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed GG Boom | 57c | 269.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Ignite | 60c | 258.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed GG Boom | 52c | 189.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Ignite | 30c | 157.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed GG Boom | 71c | 133.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Ignite | 60c | 108.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Ignite | 53c | 102.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked GG Boom | 72c | 102.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ignite | 38c | 101.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GG Boom | 56c | 88.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Ignite | 54c | 72.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Ignite | 37c | 61.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ignite | 51c | 59.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…4dd0backed Ignite | 20c | 57.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Ignite | 31c | 57.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Ignite | 32c | 54.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Ignite | 74c | 53.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GG Boom | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GG Boom | 54c | 50.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4b77…ea63backed Ignite | 60c | 50.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked GG Boom | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Ignite | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed GG Boom | 48c | 45.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…d559backed Ignite | 67c | 42.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Ignite | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Ignite | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Ignite | 33c | 39.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…72c1backed GG Boom | 72c | 38.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Ignite | 72c | 37.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Ignite | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked GG Boom | 46c | 35.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed Ignite | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed GG Boom | 44c | 31.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked GG Boom | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Ignite | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GG Boom | 39c | 28.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Ignite | 68c | 27.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed GG Boom | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed GG Boom | 74c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed GG Boom | 52c | 25.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Ignite | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…e16bbacked Ignite | 55c | 23.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…faa9backed GG Boom | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked GG Boom | 71c | 15.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked GG Boom | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 WinnerIgnite won
- Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 2 Winner GG Boom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.