Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2df08cfbcd275ca7a47689138d77bd9af72bb816a354a13cbd8ce7abe8b389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- InterActive Philippinesof D family, InterActive Philippines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4994…3e36backed InterActive Philippines | 5c | 2,743$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.65 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked D family | 49c | 2,303$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.36 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked InterActive Philippines | 52c | 2,110$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.06 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed D family | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed D family | 1c | 1,990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked D family | 35c | 1,560$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.59 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed InterActive Philippines | 65c | 1,150$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…7e40backed D family | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked D family | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed InterActive Philippines | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…42cebacked D family | 61c | 948.07$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 763.36$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed InterActive Philippines | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed D family | 47c | 750$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 701.1$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed D family | 78c | 666.89$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.45 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked InterActive Philippines | 71c | 604.01$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked D family | 22c | 555.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed InterActive Philippines | 59c | 540$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed D family | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked InterActive Philippines | 49c | 412.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked D family | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked InterActive Philippines | 43c | 377.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked InterActive Philippines | 59c | 339.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked D family | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed D family | 44c | 272.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed InterActive Philippines | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed D family | 70c | 200.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed InterActive Philippines | 58c | 185.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed InterActive Philippines | 64c | 175.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…187ebacked D family | 26c | 152.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked InterActive Philippines | 67c | 142.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee3…e851backed D family | 39c | 121.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked InterActive Philippines | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…934ebacked D family | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked D family | 36c | 93.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…e207backed InterActive Philippines | 24c | 88.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed InterActive Philippines | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed D family | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed InterActive Philippines | 67c | 65.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed D family | 32c | 63.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed D family | 34c | 61.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked InterActive Philippines | 66c | 61.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed D family | 45c | 60.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 59.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed InterActive Philippines | 54c | 55.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed InterActive Philippines | 24c | 49.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…1b0fbacked InterActive Philippines | 33c | 44.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked D family | 40c | 43.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed InterActive Philippines | 67c | 41.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed D family | 47c | 41.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed InterActive Philippines | 41c | 40.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked D family | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed D family | 40c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked D family | 45c | 38.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked InterActive Philippines | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1323backed InterActive Philippines | 64c | 34.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…34e2backed D family | 46c | 33.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked InterActive Philippines | 40c | 31.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked D family | 72c | 31.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked InterActive Philippines | 47c | 31.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed D family | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed InterActive Philippines | 58c | 28.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed InterActive Philippines | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed D family | 48c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…dc1dbacked InterActive Philippines | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed InterActive Philippines | 58c | 25.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed D family | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked InterActive Philippines | 47c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…1909backed D family | 59c | 20.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed D family | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…8273backed D family | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed D family | 69c | 17.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked D family | 67c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked D family | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 WinnerD family won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.