Us Politics · resolved market
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd601b601aefef8a07136bf16bd72642827fa65bc14b1ad066cbe5c46987a4745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 6c | 19,661$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…3c1fbacked Yes | 7c | 12,091$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,929$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,832$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 3,644$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 2,901$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 13c | 2,526$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.22 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 4c | 2,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 44c | 2,334$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.22 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…cc95backed Yes | 5c | 2,182$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…9abcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…9161backed Yes | 5c | 2,113$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 2,074$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,011$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 1,898$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e6…b5afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,888$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 12c | 1,753$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,640$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 7c | 1,621$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +224.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,566$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…6694backed No | 55c | 1,505$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 65c | 1,499$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 76c | 1,408$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 56c | 1,362$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 66c | 1,355$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.91 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,343$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes | 24c | 1,335$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +303%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…5cf2backed Yes | 4c | 1,280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 48c | 1,271$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 20c | 1,252$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c13…c9c5backed Yes | 57c | 1,131$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 57c | 945.25$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.76 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 44c | 936.69$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 38c | 885.44$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 875.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 2c | 870.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…05b9backed Yes | 27c | 795.79$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 59c | 779.03$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 761.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 43c | 747.64$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 13c | 674.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9bf5backed Yes | 48c | 603.54$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…06a2backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…bd48backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…e756backed Yes | 4c | 567.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 534.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 7c | 520.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 505.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 63c | 500.87$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 61c | 477.71$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Yes | 4c | 462.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2222…f221backed Yes | 4c | 413.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 3c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes | 47c | 382.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 25c | 380$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 14c | 366.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 4c | 356.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…fc4fbacked Yes | 3c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 66c | 337.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 6c | 337.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…eebabacked Yes | 32c | 309.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…a9fdbacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…6a9bbacked Yes | 13c | 290.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed No | 57c | 273.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 35c | 245.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 61c | 239.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 49c | 235.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…8b29backed No | 77c | 233$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 221.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 42c | 203.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed No | 76c | 203$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 9c | 200.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c890backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…b2e2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…a241backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…94b6backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 67c | 199.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 39c | 199.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…17d7backed Yes | 7c | 197.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 32c | 189.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Yes | 32c | 179.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Yes | 23c | 174.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…f473backed No | 56c | 172.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…e2a2backed No | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 50c | 168.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…e69bbacked Yes | 12c | 165.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 54c | 164.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked No | 52c | 158.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 51c | 154.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.