Champions League · resolved market
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877734e7ac509afd52e378193ef32849779213fc831ab797d3fdb80c16deee3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $718,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $718,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 106,118$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 0c | 64,815$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…9f46backed No | 1c | 50,148$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…2945backed No | 0c | 49,790$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…39fdbacked No | 0c | 46,434$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…935cbacked No | 0c | 36,090$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…f5dabacked No | 1c | 30,627$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4a…726fbacked No | 0c | 25,984$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…bb00backed No | 0c | 22,882$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed No | 0c | 22,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…7cb7backed No | 0c | 14,835$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5dcbbacked No | 0c | 14,259$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 1c | 13,412$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 12,839$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…2adebacked No | 2c | 10,824$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…f91dbacked No | 1c | 10,660$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…4612backed No | 0c | 9,930$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…617fbacked No | 0c | 9,031$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed No | 1c | 5,136$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…36e2backed No | 0c | 4,609$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…1ddebacked No | 0c | 4,391$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…59d5backed No | 1c | 3,440$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…8e12backed No | 1c | 3,380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 1c | 3,175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…9a97backed No | 2c | 2,965$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed No | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Yes | 69c | 2,398$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbc…0a03backed No | 1c | 2,380$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…c1a6backed No | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…7daabacked No | 1c | 2,035$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 3c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…90d7backed No | 2c | 1,880$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 6c | 1,599$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…eb7abacked No | 4c | 1,581$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…415dbacked No | 1c | 1,529$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed No | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,210$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked No | 57c | 916.97$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 2c | 815.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 794.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…59e8backed No | 2c | 528.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed No | 43c | 229.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 35c | 220.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 61c | 197.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 58c | 179.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 61c | 149.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f612backed No | 15c | 146.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 65c | 143$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed No | 43c | 139.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 55c | 131.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…e4edbacked No | 72c | 130.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 69c | 116.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 115.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 33c | 106.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 65c | 103.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 56c | 92.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 50c | 82.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed No | 39c | 76.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 33c | 76.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed No | 53c | 75.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 34c | 62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 39c | 47.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…81f5backed Yes | 37c | 40.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 68c | 35.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…4944backed Yes | 34c | 33.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b223backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 49c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a6…1e08backed No | 71c | 28.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d798backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 62c | 23.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…8630backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…0923backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…2e04backed No | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 74c | 15.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…cdc3backed No | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.