NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f4605b4b70924dc7e3c65b31daa57ee8a24ba262fe4e688e10dd0168f1cc107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $745,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 699,949$314,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385,073 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 55c | 300,000$165,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,000 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 55c | 222,222$122,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,222.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 55c | 97,010$53,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,355.26 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 33,704$18,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,537.05 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 43c | 4,421$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 60c | 4,156$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Over | 64c | 3,134$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Over | 54c | 2,391$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 47c | 1,356$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 44c | 1,074$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.59 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 55c | 1,053$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 941.67$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Under | 53c | 929.56$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 22c | 919.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 910.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.08 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 38c | 892.61$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Under | 56c | 844.98$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 45c | 801.4$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.75 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 9c | 750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 55c | 676.45$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.05 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 652.73$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 55c | 622.31$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.27 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 30c | 618.12$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 29c | 607.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 57c | 601.93$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 566.62$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 56c | 564.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.39 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 472$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 55c | 434.88$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.18 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 378.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 372.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 372$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 356.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 350.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Over | 43c | 343.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 322.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 55c | 299.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 57c | 294.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 277.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 65c | 265.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 56c | 193.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 55c | 191$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 56c | 179.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 11c | 176.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 78c | 175.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 45c | 175$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 55c | 169.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…e2fabacked Under | 59c | 169.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Over | 44c | 149.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 148.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ae53backed Under | 57c | 145.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 22c | 143.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e6f4backed Under | 24c | 129.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 68c | 128$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Under | 42c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 57c | 116.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 57c | 114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 45c | 111.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 45c | 111.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 36c | 107.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 55c | 99.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…2afcbacked Under | 56c | 89.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Under | 56c | 88.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 45c | 83.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Over | 51c | 82.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 57c | 80.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Over | 45c | 78.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 52c | 77.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 45c | 75.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 56c | 73.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 62.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 43c | 59.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 47c | 56.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. DevilsDevils won
- Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.