TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Over55c21,660$11,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c17,190$7,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,735.4451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c6,884$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.761,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under46c2,848$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.5583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over54c1,795$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.8786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under46c1,790$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over54c1,786$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.751,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over55c1,590$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c1,247$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.1586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c965.15$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.791,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under50c878.1$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3218557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c805.1$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.555050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under38c586.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0613445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c380.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c365.67$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.242,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under34c324.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.923,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c306.8$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12648552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over63c244.76$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5634040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c222.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.631,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x745b…5ba2backed Under47c219$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b67…dd18backed Over53c218.18$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…3821backed Over53c216.82$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…1759backed Under47c216$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaae…3f17backed Under47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f58…d45cbacked Under47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c74…846abacked Over53c210.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c9…bcc3backed Over53c208.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b1…0e3dbacked Under47c207$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8138…1040backed Over53c206.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under50c204.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x036c…649cbacked Over53c200.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9192444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x690d…8342backed Over53c193.52$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec95…3dfabacked Under47c192$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3d…ac97backed Under47c191$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…d4c2backed Under47c184$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b2…8bd9backed Over53c181.48$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over55c165.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.63666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under61c142.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3712763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over77c137.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.111,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…32a6backed Under46c129$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over56c119.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9320855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022750.7%115 W · 112 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3346…7502backed Under28c105.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c103.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Over54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.855745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under31c95.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.381,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433d…a85abacked Under26c94.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked Over58c79.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over72c78.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over55c70.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.749757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.920446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over58c69.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.712347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over55c61.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.497951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.221651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c56.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over55c49.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3219951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc951…51a8backed Over55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over48c41.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.784546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over50c40.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1316549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over54c37.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2338849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d5…c408backed Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3612547.2%59 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3621253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366271%44 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under45c36.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under46c34.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8117343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over64c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4629553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d49…4e59backed Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.512438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x270d…a696backed Over55c29.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over68c26.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2728340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over72c23.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.633363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912050.8%61 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over68c19.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4222759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.