TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Devils (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blackhawks62c9,500$5,890 inLost-$5,889.7524349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Devils38c9,397$3,571 inWon+$5,826.1412152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blackhawks62c999.97$620 inLost-$619.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Devils32c489.28$159 inWon+$330.62,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks55c303.83$168 inLost-$1682,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Devils25c204$52 inWon+$152.1618344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Devils38c186$71 inWon+$115.3231753.3%169 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Devils38c185$70 inWon+$114.725337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Devils38c185$70 inWon+$114.718344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks72c182.53$131 inLost-$130.753,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b05…bc1cbacked Blackhawks63c175.67$111 inLost-$111650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blackhawks73c167.31$123 inLost-$122.9138551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Devils46c152.41$71 inWon+$81.5515839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Devils49c125$62 inWon+$63.151,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Devils37c110.74$41 inWon+$69.771,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Devils38c106.31$40 inWon+$65.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Devils38c105.26$40 inWon+$65.2654049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db3…8b52backed Devils50c99$50 inWon+$49.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Blackhawks65c94.4$62 inLost-$61.741,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Devils34c78$27 inWon+$51.489141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Devils38c65.79$25 inWon+$40.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Devils40c65.7$26 inWon+$39.426253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Devils38c52.63$20 inWon+$32.6321253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb1…7ef7backed Devils37c48$18 inWon+$30.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Blackhawks63c43.4$27 inLost-$27.3419951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Devils50c40$20 inWon+$2082043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Devils38c39.19$15 inWon+$24.345651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Devils36c32.81$12 inWon+$211,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Devils37c32.81$12 inWon+$20.672,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1040…1ce0backed Blackhawks63c30.95$19 inLost-$19.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Blackhawks80c30$24 inLost-$2434752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Blackhawks62c28.9$18 inLost-$17.9238849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Devils36c27.78$10 inWon+$17.7847024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Blackhawks61c26.1$16 inLost-$15.9217761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6137…171ebacked Blackhawks64c21.09$14 inLost-$13.56163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Blackhawks69c20.52$14 inLost-$14.1614963.8%95 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Blackhawks51c19.96$10 inLost-$10.1832353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.