TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$512,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over46c443,021$204,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,110.6920354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under54c322,521$173,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,110.033844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under54c60,000$32,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,40040351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over46c22,991$10,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,414.9524349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under54c14,172$7,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,652.8812152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c13,299$7,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,181.461,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under54c10,824$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,898.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…8478backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,500757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfed…db6fbacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2408845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under55c6,000$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under55c3,596$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.958544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c2,610$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.371,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c2,200$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.4676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under54c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0703345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under55c1,900$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c1,347$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.363,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c990.23$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.791,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c930.52$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c638.93$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.552,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398c…33fabacked Under58c599.98$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9950%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over47c584.39$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.367454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under54c550$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29711543.5%50 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9128753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under54c527.66$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8817761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under33c526$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.222,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c486$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over46c481.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.273452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under56c419.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23512544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over50c403.42$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c390$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.21,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c364.54$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.392,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over45c355.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7516756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over48c351.6$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0718557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over44c339.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3733941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under55c329.91$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under41c243.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under54c203.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8713549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under54c199.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.998752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Over53c190.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.112161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c183.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.631,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.215349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc8…e90cbacked Over45c179$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over46c164$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5615257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77da…d3bdbacked Over45c160$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…2b5ebacked Over45c149$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bc…5b27backed Over46c130$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under55c121.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under55c117.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.815245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over46c109.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7711650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under54c107.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9313253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…e3c6backed Under54c104$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7670…ea85backed Over52c96.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.821,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c87.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.353849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over46c82.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.65952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c76.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.772,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under55c72.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9915444.8%69 W · 85 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3543…b9bcbacked Over47c70.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c69.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4747753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa554…cecdbacked Under56c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over45c66.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3333745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0209…ad12backed Under55c63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e4…ebfbbacked Under56c63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b7…849dbacked Under56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc108…37d7backed Under54c60.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under47c57.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2737857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under54c57.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under46c55.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.881,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Over46c54.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7c…07cebacked Under45c52.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over46c51.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.871,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Under55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711957.1%68 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d60…e01abacked Under55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e5…3449backed Under55c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6726…1a74backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…b5f6backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under41c44.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4322759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…e845backed Under55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c2…e8b8backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Under54c36.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…6a88backed Under55c33.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.