NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a7a88b67ad4a76475d4843b5bfd104da95e14dff6e27fc8b943d572f804877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 2,053$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Over | 58c | 1,621$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 969.48$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.27 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 818$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 707.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.27 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 31c | 495.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 43c | 418.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 327.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 57c | 291.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 55c | 277$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 255.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 57c | 169.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 71c | 138.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 36c | 136.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 43c | 135.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 54c | 122.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 120.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 55c | 105.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 57c | 103.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 42c | 99.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 56c | 96.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 86.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 75.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 58c | 70.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 57c | 54.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 54c | 51.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Bruins won
- Wild vs. BruinsBruins won
- Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.