TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6726…1a74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$20.28
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$13.02
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.19
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$13.91
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.8
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.54
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$12.9
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.01
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$22.69
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.08
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$16.24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$36.41
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.32
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+64%+$22.71
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$27.18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$11.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$32.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$65.78
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.97
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.43
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$16.43
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.26
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.85
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$17.65
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+79%+$18.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$10.22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.