TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$575,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,663 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex42c46,640$19,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,089.5528748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex35c33,728$11,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,940.5154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid52c32,560$16,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,934.4455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Liquid60c28,112$16,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,866.9711854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid57c12,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.9910445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex45c11,605$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.3151751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid64c11,111$7,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,111.0332854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex45c11,004$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009.1753451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid64c10,501$6,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,705.519153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid66c10,248$6,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,755.929636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9842650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid52c9,956$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.3520159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex49c8,343$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.3173841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid57c7,822$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,46096557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex44c7,808$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,407.821,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex47c6,953$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.8766662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid63c6,460$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.016852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex50c6,157$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.2948954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Liquid66c5,458$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.738845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex41c5,401$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.4935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Yandex30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9913020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Yandex43c4,453$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.3725549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Team Yandex59c4,397$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.063762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex36c4,187$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.062,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex31c4,109$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.0941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Yandex43c3,375$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.6112156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.4420156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid68c3,094$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.6318661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid58c3,000$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.7679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Yandex44c2,741$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.919447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Yandex46c2,632$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.069158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Liquid56c2,591$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.728258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12bb…f420backed Team Liquid60c1,928$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.941030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex43c1,880$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6658744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid5c1,800$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8637811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf657…f8d0backed Team Liquid66c1,800$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid70c1,786$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.219147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid32c1,767$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.61,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Liquid66c1,710$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.97955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Liquid42c1,686$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.4252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…e5d6backed Team Liquid70c1,634$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.563764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex38c1,631$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.9638653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid69c1,600$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.9618362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex43c1,592$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.041,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Liquid57c1,544$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.5546649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid30c1,436$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.834443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid57c1,402$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.1653652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…12cabacked Team Liquid65c1,364$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.364757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid63c1,329$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.0260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid69c1,307$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed Team Liquid79c1,269$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Team Yandex45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.993060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid41c1,179$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Team Liquid59c1,167$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.3811960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid6c1,050$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.537018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Team Liquid44c1,031$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45310141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid69c1,024$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.7439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Team Liquid59c1,020$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid66c1,000$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.9232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Yandex42c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5754440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex51c991.79$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex46c985.56$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.561,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid48c980.85$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2117353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Team Liquid61c963.49$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.487550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid49c947.03$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4614751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Liquid60c918.27$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.947830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex60c901.21$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0228549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Team Yandex67c778.61$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Team Yandex47c769.95$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0737047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid62c724.7$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Team Liquid70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Team Yandex33c689.16$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.1411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex43c678.36$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6622643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid55c662.64$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4372035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Team Yandex46c658.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6224045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Team Liquid65c656.3$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.612857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Liquid53c650.07$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2115650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Team Yandex32c639.5$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2812948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid46c613.78$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex29c599.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9833549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid65c557.69$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1610759.8%64 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Team Yandex55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.756150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Team Liquid28c545.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.292466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Team Liquid55c545.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Team Yandex40c526.17$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.77149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex58c519.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9633845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid60c517.61$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5738049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid53c516.8$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8216550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Yandex44c509.09$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0910949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2570…9fe2backed Team Liquid59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28029047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed Team Liquid21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054717%8 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed Team Yandex36c499.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.994341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Team Yandex68c492.38$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid53c491.52$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5711549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid31c484.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.529430.9%29 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5614…b9fbbacked Team Liquid53c473.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.772920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Team Liquid67c472.4$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.517950.6%40 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.