TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,460 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team43c41,371$17,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,90054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit58c19,999$11,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,304.0555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit55c18,171$9,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,176.9733850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team40c14,448$5,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.242650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit60c12,292$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.3332854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked BetBoom Team20c10,195$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.2713020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit54c9,230$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,245.799657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed BetBoom Team40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.8410445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team50c8,188$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.1653451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team45c6,811$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.5611854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed BetBoom Team48c5,700$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.516142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed BetBoom Team10c5,650$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.4914751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Team Spirit56c5,253$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.24955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed BetBoom Team42c4,976$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit60c4,612$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.813045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit62c4,026$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.0320159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit55c4,003$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.621,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit62c3,828$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.2973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked BetBoom Team39c3,423$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.9741242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit66c2,997$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.8851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit57c2,984$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.781,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Spirit57c2,762$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.314440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit56c2,665$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.7344149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit59c2,580$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.312,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…8c3bbacked BetBoom Team42c2,530$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit55c2,470$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.6555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit74c2,272$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5918661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit62c2,258$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.0620156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit56c2,200$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed BetBoom Team41c2,111$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.6422643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed BetBoom Team50c2,002$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Spirit62c1,945$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.619158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed BetBoom Team39c1,941$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.7322363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team36c1,803$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.4838049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit65c1,765$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.8418362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team38c1,653$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3158744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Spirit54c1,474$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6789153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Spirit57c1,445$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.99257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team31c1,343$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.450832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf657…f8d0backed Team Spirit57c1,270$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.093342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BetBoom Team42c1,224$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3660646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked BetBoom Team40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BetBoom Team16c1,148$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Spirit54c1,100$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51080742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed BetBoom Team27c1,000$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.548726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team41c939.18$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.351,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Team Spirit59c922.7$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.710141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit61c901.54$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.653652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ea…c45dbacked BetBoom Team40c866.25$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed BetBoom Team47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a8…9579backed BetBoom Team6c828.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721040%4 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked BetBoom Team41c821.7$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.115251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit62c766.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2315650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit64c760.65$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3746649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…e5d6backed Team Spirit77c742.61$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.013764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed BetBoom Team32c740$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Spirit59c718.23$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9112156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed BetBoom Team13c709.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0763032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team32c694$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.592,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Team Spirit58c689.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.677550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed BetBoom Team38c609.71$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5533041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team36c564.65$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6571454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed BetBoom Team37c559.46$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BetBoom Team13c540$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.46132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed BetBoom Team43c535.45$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed BetBoom Team43c528$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0422727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team31c527.78$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.831,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked BetBoom Team40c504.25$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.729548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Team Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked BetBoom Team12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Team Spirit56c499.99$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6137047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Team Spirit60c493.28$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2212252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked Team Spirit62c480.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.039953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4a…0314backed Team Spirit56c457.97$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.51650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Spirit58c445.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1633549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit68c442.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2633845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5614…b9fbbacked BetBoom Team40c440$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed BetBoom Team46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed BetBoom Team34c433.68$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.581931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed BetBoom Team24c417.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit62c401.61$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6145046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit55c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18224251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2148…128ebacked BetBoom Team6c367.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BetBoom Team33c349.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Spirit60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3310949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Spirit60c332.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.919447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Team Spirit61c325.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8812348%59 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit49c322.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.532,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Team Spirit55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14413138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf257…ba86backed Team Spirit60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12039660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked BetBoom Team45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked BetBoom Team45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512132.2%39 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit59c283.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4216550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed BetBoom Team36c278.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9810134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cbb…87c3backed BetBoom Team39c270.24$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.42119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.