Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11ad999e1fff8b3777d4a7cbd9e5c589d3b8ded653d0ebf019b4e78ed7c9239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Team Spirit, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,996 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked BetBoom Team | 70c | 2,237$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Team Spirit | 30c | 2,233$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 245.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Team Spirit | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Team Spirit | 17c | 146.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Spirit | 30c | 109.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 30.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 59 | 78%46 W · 13 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.