TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,391 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team46c59,073$27,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,673.1854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit35c40,093$13,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,878.62,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team57c35,744$20,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,291.1755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team61c28,388$17,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,184.7411854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit53c23,170$12,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,280.2328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit42c14,975$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,327.5133041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit48c14,544$6,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,961.8453451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team64c10,651$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.9771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team51c10,232$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.632854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Spirit13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team63c9,197$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.1896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Spirit42c8,545$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.612156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed BetBoom Team53c7,576$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.073435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit47c7,313$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.7222643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked BetBoom Team64c7,000$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.2320159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team55c6,852$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.081,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit37c6,418$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.4473841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Spirit54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2409153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit34c5,481$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.3451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team Spirit41c5,200$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1328749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Team Spirit52c5,192$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.135236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit55c5,015$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.2513045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit41c4,453$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.318362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit29c4,163$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.51,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit56c4,110$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.69657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed BetBoom Team64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4408242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit30c3,775$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.1424251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit36c3,603$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.412,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit34c3,031$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.3966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked BetBoom Team76c2,722$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.832951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit42c2,597$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09848539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Spirit45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.9916142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit41c2,496$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.9160646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team50c2,422$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.6620156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Spirit52c1,887$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.386637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed BetBoom Team56c1,846$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.820350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Spirit53c1,716$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.4819147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit36c1,565$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.3236851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Spirit47c1,499$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70037549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Team Spirit48c1,466$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007941.8%33 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit47c1,464$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.7544149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Spirit27c1,446$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.453154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team47c1,400$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74358744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked BetBoom Team60c1,310$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6912348%59 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed BetBoom Team79c1,265$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.569447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Spirit46c1,209$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.6153844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked BetBoom Team52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5763060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Spirit37c1,138$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.713733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit54c1,127$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4952243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Spirit46c1,120$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5154533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Spirit55c1,113$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.334440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedce…412ebacked Team Spirit3c1,085$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.824719.1%9 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Team Spirit51c1,017$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51910141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit41c1,001$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.332652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Team Spirit26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit53c997.62$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.4660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Spirit54c937.15$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6980742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Spirit36c923.2$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9215051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34236343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Team Spirit34c893.48$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.782857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a8…9579backed Team Spirit33c893.48$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.851040%4 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BetBoom Team62c889.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.737047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed BetBoom Team54c872.22$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Spirit53c841.3$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Spirit48c836.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed BetBoom Team56c823.88$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3760251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Team Spirit10c820.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team66c770.15$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit46c757.87$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6245046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Spirit53c754$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8514443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815a…2540backed BetBoom Team67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Spirit18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12613027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Spirit44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30811647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed BetBoom Team61c700$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1123050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team48c679.2$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.731,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Spirit11c670.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.666132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit44c650$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28653652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit31c617.07$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.592,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…42a7backed Team Spirit55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x456e…968bbacked BetBoom Team45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed BetBoom Team54c600$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27833549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf657…f8d0backed Team Spirit47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Team Spirit33c587.19$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed BetBoom Team49c583.82$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.827252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit55c582.23$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Team Spirit52c581$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.818328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Team Spirit23c559.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.538425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed BetBoom Team61c555$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5136051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Team Spirit52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28611648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit46c545.5$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.931,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked BetBoom Team69c521.79$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.218258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cbb…87c3backed Team Spirit33c518.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.692119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked BetBoom Team75c517.28$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9418745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit38c511.41$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…ba86backed BetBoom Team61c494.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked BetBoom Team61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.811960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked BetBoom Team61c489.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.167550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.