TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Under51c50,000$25,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,531.9756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,499.9860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under48c30,001$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,600.451,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c9,585$4,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c8,675$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c8,257$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.391,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c7,111$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.81,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over52c5,910$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.2713954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Over49c5,700$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over49c2,420$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.8727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Over52c2,313$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.51427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c2,294$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.991,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c2,046$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.3116346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c1,779$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,699$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over52c1,610$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.2711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c1,453$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over33c1,408$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2924138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,234$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.23850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under50c985$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.57337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c952.98$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under35c894.78$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.361,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c873.88$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.251,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over52c788.02$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.772657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under69c739.11$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c734.66$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.511,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under49c669.4$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.410945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over51c646.16$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Over52c625.11$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.064850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c617.42$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Over4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c583.18$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.421,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c529.89$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c491.78$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Over53c487.12$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.423351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over50c482.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c456.63$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c448.87$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.411,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over49c418.4$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over49c377.23$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c366.31$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over54c363.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over49c359.66$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under49c350.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c341.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under51c308.21$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.292,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15619435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Under49c299.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.136250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over51c298.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4820443.6%89 W · 115 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under48c296.57$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over53c273.9$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c256.52$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over55c251.85$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.031850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over50c244.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2812650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c243.31$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under45c230.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0116242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c227.46$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.282,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over34c224.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c203.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over10c188$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under39c184.28$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.411,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under48c180.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over50c179.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.98353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e23…9722backed Over49c179.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.063237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over49c174.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3719659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over51c166.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1610745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over49c160.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5231354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under33c153.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.851,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c152.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.571,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over54c152.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under51c148.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over49c145.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c132.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.951,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over10c132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c131.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c128.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c127.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under50c123.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.547248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under50c120.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0341449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b81…68bebacked Under49c119.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over23c109.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2943752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5407…dbc0backed Under46c108.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.613751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c105.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under47c104.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5445542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c104.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4244747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over49c104.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f3…deb4backed Under49c103.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Under48c102.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Under49c100.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6231540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under49c100.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over48c99.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9922850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c98.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.