NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5673b8d2968934603a43cf43461c474d36f13c27a28042fd427fb1d9f97338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 50,000$25,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,531.97 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.98 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 30,001$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600.45 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 9,585$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 8,675$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 8,257$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.39 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 7,111$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 5,910$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.27 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Over | 49c | 5,700$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 49c | 2,420$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.87 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Over | 52c | 2,313$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.51 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 2,294$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.99 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 51c | 2,046$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.31 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 1,779$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,699$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 52c | 1,610$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.27 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 1,453$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.28 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 33c | 1,408$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.29 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,234$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 50c | 985$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 952.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 35c | 894.78$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.36 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 873.88$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.25 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over | 52c | 788.02$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 739.11$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 734.66$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 49c | 669.4$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 51c | 646.16$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 52c | 625.11$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.06 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 617.42$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Over | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 583.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 51c | 529.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.65 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 491.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Over | 53c | 487.12$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 50c | 482.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 456.63$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 448.87$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.41 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 49c | 418.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 377.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 366.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 54c | 363.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 49c | 359.66$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 350.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 50c | 341.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 308.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Under | 49c | 299.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 51c | 298.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 48c | 296.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 53c | 273.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 256.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Over | 55c | 251.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 50c | 244.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 243.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 45c | 230.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 227.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 224.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 203.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 39c | 184.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 48c | 180.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 50c | 179.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Over | 49c | 179.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 49c | 174.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 51c | 166.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 49c | 160.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 33c | 153.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 152.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 152.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 148.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 49c | 145.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 132.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 10c | 132$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 45c | 131.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 128.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 127.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 50c | 123.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 50c | 120.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked Under | 49c | 119.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 23c | 109.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Under | 46c | 108.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 50c | 105.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 47c | 104.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 104.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 49c | 104.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…deb4backed Under | 49c | 103.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Under | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Under | 49c | 100.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 49c | 100.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Bulls vs. SpursSpurs won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 245.5Under won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Bulls won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.