NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7929b82143f4286cb252e9b40fab1b7892179db42ba5fa4721bf59884dbbeeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Spurs, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs | 50c | 49,270$24,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,625 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 51c | 17,099$8,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,388.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 56c | 16,430$9,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 51c | 13,672$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 51c | 11,786$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 55c | 8,483$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 39c | 7,886$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.47 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Bulls | 49c | 6,917$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.8 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 50c | 5,893$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 51c | 3,594$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.9 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bulls | 30c | 3,133$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.38 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bulls | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Bulls | 33c | 2,960$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spurs | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Spurs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.62 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 50c | 1,937$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.56 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls | 50c | 1,574$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Spurs | 60c | 1,561$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.78 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.75 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 38c | 1,504$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Spurs | 33c | 1,157$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.19 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Spurs | 49c | 1,005$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bulls | 17c | 991.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.97 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 49c | 950.87$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Bulls | 37c | 935.71$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.6 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spurs | 50c | 779.14$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Bulls | 40c | 746.26$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.4 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Bulls | 51c | 701.26$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.77 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 49c | 616.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 65c | 495.81$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.28 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls | 51c | 418.54$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Bulls | 50c | 408.06$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Spurs | 61c | 382.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Spurs | 56c | 360.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs | 49c | 350.66$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Spurs | 41c | 315.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 50c | 302.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 49c | 301.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Spurs | 39c | 258.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 51c | 252.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Bulls | 52c | 246.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 43c | 243.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Spurs | 49c | 235.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…6463backed Spurs | 49c | 233.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Spurs | 49c | 203.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Spurs | 52c | 202.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Spurs | 50c | 200.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Spurs | 49c | 199.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Spurs | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Bulls | 51c | 193.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 50c | 189.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Bulls | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Bulls | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Spurs | 49c | 180.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 49c | 175.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Spurs | 48c | 168.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Spurs | 49c | 158.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Bulls | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Spurs | 46c | 151.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Spurs | 49c | 148.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Spurs | 49c | 140.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Bulls | 50c | 136.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bulls | 52c | 136.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Spurs | 48c | 134.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Spurs | 67c | 129.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bulls | 58c | 127.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls | 28c | 124.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Spurs | 32c | 122.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Spurs | 50c | 121.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 50c | 119.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bulls | 30c | 117.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 52c | 115.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls | 57c | 114.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Bulls | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Spurs | 52c | 108.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Bulls | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Spurs | 49c | 102.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Bulls | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Spurs | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Bulls | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Bulls | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Spurs | 49c | 87.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Spurs | 50c | 87.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 40c | 83.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Spurs | 49c | 81.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Spurs | 49c | 81.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Spurs | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…7ef7backed Bulls | 52c | 79.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bulls | 51c | 77.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Spurs | 39c | 75.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Bulls | 53c | 75.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bulls | 51c | 75.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Spurs | 50c | 71.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Bulls | 35c | 71.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bulls | 51c | 67.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Bulls vs. SpursSpurs won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 245.5Under won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Bulls won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.