NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f768a6291a4f003764969b3553bdaff594d3786aa3e4162d05d68a89647cb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 49c | 50,040$24,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,519.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 13,497$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.34 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 6,358$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.46 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 5,792$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 5,299$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.57 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 5,029$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 4,472$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.37 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 4,319$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 48c | 4,250$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.96 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 2c | 3,190$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 2,740$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.49 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 74c | 2,658$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.37 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 47c | 2,464$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.67 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 47c | 2,094$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.26 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 2,080$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.46 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 44c | 1,998$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.72 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 51c | 1,949$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Over | 53c | 1,740$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.71 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,718$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Over | 52c | 1,506$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.93 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 1,418$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.85 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 72c | 1,356$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 1,232$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.84 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 1,122$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 64c | 1,062$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Over | 55c | 1,013$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 51c | 992.82$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.34 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 27c | 954.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 10c | 899.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 31c | 863.91$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Under | 22c | 770$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 53c | 757.07$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 16c | 728.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 24c | 725$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 14c | 700$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 14c | 700$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Under | 14c | 699.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 49c | 687.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Over | 46c | 676.07$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 34c | 622.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 50c | 570.76$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 45c | 531.63$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 69c | 504.54$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 45c | 492.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 483.85$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 465.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 48c | 454.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…d662backed Over | 45c | 452.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked Under | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Under | 35c | 450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 35c | 450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 415.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 23c | 409$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 47c | 400.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Under | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Under | 8c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 40c | 397.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 75c | 394.87$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Over | 46c | 394.38$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 38c | 394.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 46c | 358.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 64c | 357.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 357.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 54c | 354.04$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 44c | 327.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 46c | 318.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 16c | 301.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 44c | 298.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 295.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 51c | 295.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 275.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 55c | 267.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Under | 43c | 265.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 44c | 252.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 38c | 245$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 239.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 47c | 229.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 43c | 229.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 43c | 229.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 47c | 224.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 47c | 219.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 46c | 215.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 59c | 208.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 55c | 207.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 206.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 203.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 46c | 201.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 196.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 50c | 195.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 51c | 193.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 58c | 192.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Bulls vs. SpursSpurs won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 245.5Under won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Bulls won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.