NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf313b241d940bc9d981605be461a211e72b9433c38aaa2d7c2cfb6b0424a7346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 54c | 537,346$292,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,664.55 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,000 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 47c | 149,347$70,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,193.32 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 44c | 125,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 124,771$56,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,454.87 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 56c | 94,667$53,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,653.68 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 43c | 29,110$12,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,718.24 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 19,315$10,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,797.18 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 58c | 17,014$9,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,849.01 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 44c | 13,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 8,013$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.88 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 47c | 2,953$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.9 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,653$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.66 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 45c | 2,391$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.91 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,227$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 55c | 1,550$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 46c | 1,548$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.24 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 41c | 1,506$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.6 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 1,478$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.54 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 43c | 1,410$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 925.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.74 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 45c | 921$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.01 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 42c | 753.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.03 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 686.06$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 571.47$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 570$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Under | 40c | 500.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.13 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 494.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 478.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 458$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.84 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 46c | 425.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Over | 45c | 421.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 400.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 366.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 49c | 290.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 44c | 275.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2b81backed Under | 51c | 273$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…d662backed Under | 54c | 262$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 240.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 46c | 234.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 49c | 231.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 43c | 221.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 56c | 201.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 194$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 54c | 188.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 56c | 179.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 42c | 167.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 167.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 56c | 164.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 44c | 163.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 47c | 158.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 51c | 154.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 43c | 152.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 60c | 143.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 141.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 45c | 132.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 69c | 130$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 46c | 128.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 50c | 126.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 56c | 120.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 45c | 117.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Over | 46c | 117.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 44c | 113.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 54c | 113.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 45c | 112.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 112.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 59c | 111.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 48c | 110.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…1020backed Under | 55c | 108.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 107.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 49c | 105.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 56c | 104.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 47c | 104.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 40c | 100.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 57c | 96.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 45c | 96.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. LightningLightning won
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.