NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8d25535a0f386d2189febeb7cbca4501db829dd64587580e1bc0ea72ef276e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 73,008$33,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,233.6 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 20,947$11,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,474.87 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 55c | 20,000$10,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 17,881$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,768.62 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 16,110$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410.66 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 10,111$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.07 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 8,910$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.37 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 7,501$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 29c | 6,061$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 42c | 2,048$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 46c | 1,991$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.01 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 55c | 1,650$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.75 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 1,206$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.61 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 42c | 929$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.18 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 41c | 888.5$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.29 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 700.96$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.91 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 688.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 683.7$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.27 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 673.85$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 613.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 565.9$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 518$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 41c | 471.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 459.56$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 72c | 437.54$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 70c | 413.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 64c | 401.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 368.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 56c | 297.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 28c | 268$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 261.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 243$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7653…1b31backed Under | 42c | 238.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 71c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 28c | 182.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 11c | 177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 27c | 175.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Under | 32c | 163.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 155.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 150.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Over | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 30c | 149.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 54c | 148.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 55c | 130.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 45c | 111.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 58c | 109.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 50c | 100.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 54c | 96.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 63c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Over | 59c | 86.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 42c | 80.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 57c | 71.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 55c | 70.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 56c | 70.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 56c | 70.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 54c | 64.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 65c | 64.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 58c | 62.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…817dbacked Under | 33c | 58.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 30c | 55.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 48c | 51.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 58c | 50.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Over | 57c | 49.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 46.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 58c | 45.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 29c | 45.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 72c | 44.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 55c | 43.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 54c | 40.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 76c | 35.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…0228backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…78ffbacked Under | 45c | 33.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 31c | 33.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 29.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 62c | 28.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 72c | 28.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5this page
- Senators vs. LightningLightning won
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.