NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344fc62fd8c4bbbab312c5862e06aff7e369cbee0d8739e1e0cfd476b1297cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $729,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $855,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 48c | 223,419$107,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,177.71 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 52c | 157,188$81,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,201.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons | 51c | 94,305$48,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,760.99 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 50c | 87,720$43,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,908.62 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 50c | 83,708$41,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,853.83 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 52c | 66,211$34,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,301.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 49c | 52,174$25,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,367.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Raptors | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons | 55c | 32,277$17,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,542.65 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Raptors | 52c | 15,597$8,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,090.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Raptors | 52c | 15,229$7,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,925.23 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 49c | 12,272$6,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,258.91 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.76 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Raptors | 52c | 11,110$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.2 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 54c | 10,974$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.98 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Raptors | 50c | 9,656$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.7 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Pistons | 51c | 9,540$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.05 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 49c | 8,234$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.38 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 49c | 6,768$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Raptors | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 30c | 5,340$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,946$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.42 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 52c | 4,156$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.86 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Pistons | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Raptors | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Raptors | 52c | 3,596$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.55 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 49c | 3,009$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.26 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Raptors | 50c | 2,960$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.22 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,954$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 50c | 2,597$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.38 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Raptors | 51c | 2,379$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.24 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 49c | 2,320$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Pistons | 50c | 2,231$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Pistons | 49c | 2,169$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.08 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Raptors | 52c | 2,017$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raptors | 51c | 1,946$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,501$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.42 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Raptors | 51c | 1,431$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.25 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pistons | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Raptors | 52c | 1,303$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons | 49c | 1,281$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.26 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Raptors | 52c | 1,240$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.79 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 49c | 1,158$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Raptors | 52c | 1,104$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.63 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.33 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Raptors | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Raptors | 53c | 850.78$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.92 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Raptors | 52c | 825.67$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 52c | 805.4$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Raptors | 52c | 794.51$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 52c | 781.37$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.27 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 50c | 780.71$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Raptors | 52c | 766.84$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.24 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Raptors | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Raptors | 52c | 755.97$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Raptors | 36c | 708.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.22 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Pistons | 50c | 679$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Raptors | 51c | 672.63$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.04 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Raptors | 36c | 644.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pistons | 47c | 633.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Raptors | 51c | 633.74$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.21 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Raptors | 36c | 614.09$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pistons | 49c | 597.15$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pistons | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Raptors | 52c | 577.7$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 49c | 574.21$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Raptors | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Pistons | 47c | 557.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Raptors | 41c | 518.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Raptors | 36c | 505.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Raptors | 51c | 504.71$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Raptors | 51c | 489.18$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 48c | 480.27$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Raptors | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 36c | 473.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Raptors | 51c | 455.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Pistons | 49c | 425.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 49c | 424.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Raptors | 52c | 398.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Raptors | 49c | 392.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Pistons | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 49c | 386.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Raptors | 51c | 379.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Raptors | 52c | 366.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Raptors | 36c | 363.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Raptors | 51c | 343.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Raptors | 52c | 333.09$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors | 36c | 329.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Pistons | 49c | 316.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Raptors | 51c | 306.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Raptors | 51c | 306.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Raptors | 51c | 306.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Raptors | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Pistons | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.