NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9dfbed6545de11404eff88dac906006631ef638e9e6696d799ba06ad25faf1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 54c | 6,873$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 43c | 4,822$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 58c | 4,118$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 52c | 3,726$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.55 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 65c | 2,829$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Raptors | 45c | 2,786$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.7 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 46c | 2,352$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Raptors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 41c | 1,980$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,554$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.98 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.96 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 54c | 956.37$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 49c | 875.06$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.78 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Raptors | 47c | 771.79$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.67 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Raptors | 46c | 749$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.54 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 51c | 600.93$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Pistons | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Raptors | 46c | 534.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Raptors | 47c | 522.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.52 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 53c | 509.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Raptors | 49c | 507.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Raptors | 49c | 488.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons | 54c | 432.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Pistons | 52c | 412.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Raptors | 49c | 408.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Raptors | 46c | 399.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.93 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Raptors | 51c | 399.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pistons | 52c | 398.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Pistons | 54c | 396.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pistons | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Raptors | 41c | 369.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Raptors | 33c | 329.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 54c | 311.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors | 39c | 301.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 47c | 287.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Raptors | 48c | 285.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 38c | 283.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Raptors | 35c | 265.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Raptors | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Raptors | 36c | 232.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Raptors | 51c | 230.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Raptors | 36c | 218.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors | 36c | 216.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 36c | 216.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Raptors | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Raptors | 39c | 203.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Raptors | 34c | 202.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Raptors | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Pistons | 50c | 195.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Raptors | 43c | 192.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Pistons | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Raptors | 36c | 185.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Raptors | 49c | 181.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…b075backed Pistons | 52c | 173.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Raptors | 48c | 159.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pistons | 74c | 155.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 54c | 153.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pistons | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Pistons | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Pistons | 54c | 126.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Raptors | 34c | 119.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Pistons | 54c | 102.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Raptors | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raptors | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Pistons | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Raptors | 45c | 94.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Pistons | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pistons | 53c | 91.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Raptors | 43c | 91.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 49c | 85.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 63c | 83.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Pistons | 54c | 77.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Raptors | 51c | 77.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Raptors | 47c | 75.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Raptors | 51c | 70.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Raptors | 36c | 70.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pistons | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 51c | 60.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Raptors | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…d88dbacked Raptors | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pistons | 57c | 52.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Raptors | 47c | 51.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Raptors | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 40c | 51.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Pistons | 51c | 50.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Pistons | 50c | 45.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Pistons | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Pistons | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…d3c2backed Pistons | 50c | 43.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Pistons | 51c | 41.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Raptors | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Raptors | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Pistons | 51c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Raptors | 48c | 39.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.