TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c14,996$7,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,503.241,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over50c9,700$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,85016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c7,961$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,993.011,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c7,845$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.9866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under52c7,420$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.396654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c3,578$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8195…e7afbacked Under3c2,632$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.78119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-80.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,803$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over40c1,419$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under52c1,311$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.7835942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,194$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over48c1,192$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.716746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c1,108$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.8571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c1,091$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.191,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c1,033$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0213959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over28c952.01$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.3821243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.68859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under61c831.84$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c694.41$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.156547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c649$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c627.79$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over34c606.68$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.822,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c600$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.151,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36b…242dbacked Over49c525.49$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c428.47$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over42c413.74$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.114243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under52c392.56$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5517551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over49c382.91$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2916845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2436450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over49c358.08$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6210943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over47c338.63$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c336$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.721,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c325.9$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under69c314.92$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over49c282.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8719348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c281.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9368…483fbacked Over37c280.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.521040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over48c250.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4813148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over31c248.55$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over49c244.84$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3731540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over49c240.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6113352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over49c223$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7314145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c219.57$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over36c218.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.045736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10428852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over49c197.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.853647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over37c194.25$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.981,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over49c191.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8116450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c190.43$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over49c182.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8214445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under52c179.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over49c171.39$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.414641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under50c168.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0625641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over49c167.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4916245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over49c155.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.122351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over57c152$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.033948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over49c145.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1618744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over68c130.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.926861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under47c123.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1334849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Over49c122.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.296442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c116.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Under51c116.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c112.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.541,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over49c112.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3511050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4547738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc568…ecb7backed Under72c95.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.92560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over49c90.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over50c89.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6215650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under52c87.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.455651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c85.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over49c82.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0220249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c82.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0723840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Over49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.363151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under52c74.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c8…90c3backed Over50c71.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under52c70.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Under34c68.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.443721.6%8 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under71c66.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Over49c60.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.657856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.276150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over32c59.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over30c59.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over31c57.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over31c57.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over31c57.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Over49c56.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.679543.2%41 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…839ebacked Under52c55.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.022744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1712364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over49c53.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.276336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5636749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.