NBA · resolved market
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x496d010939df03d41970159d09576a78c0b851751dd232ecf29f0ea49f78978d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Yes | 37c | 594.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 62c | 419.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b69fbacked Yes | 38c | 349.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…a00fbacked Yes | 37c | 105.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed No | 55c | 58.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed No | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 45c | 40.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 54c | 23.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4dbfbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.