TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$697,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$699,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over53c329,043$173,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,487.0667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c191,450$91,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,991.4251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under47c188,679$88,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,679.133844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over52c168,589$87,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,087.0820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c109,762$57,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,702.0610050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c99,999$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.6940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c72,206$34,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,579.871,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under47c13,000$6,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1103339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Over51c12,500$6,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1251050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under49c12,245$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0004551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c11,904$5,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.7536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c11,250$5,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442.1259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Under49c10,000$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c9,444$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.0233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7608845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c6,942$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,47185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c6,088$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.492,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over50c6,060$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03028251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over50c6,060$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0302060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over50c5,480$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.241,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c4,978$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.1641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c4,906$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.155050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c3,642$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.611,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c2,949$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.551,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,900$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.6676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c2,886$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.2879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under43c2,412$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.282,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,011$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.662,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,006$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.881,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c1,999$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over52c1,727$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.983636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Under51c1,266$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.542254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c906.77$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.022,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c776.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.777454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c747.68$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c729$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under48c600$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29011250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c596$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c555.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under42c466.57$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2430348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Over53c390.85$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5927652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.412536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under48c369$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6112152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c351.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over64c338.69$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under47c311.25$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2933941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c302$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9634752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c299.92$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9622352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c265.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5613549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under46c263.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.41,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Over51c262.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.421586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+66.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over52c246$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.083452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c246$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.622646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2810864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66cc…06afbacked Over51c219.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd86…e170backed Over51c218.04$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…92f7backed Under49c214$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde63…a768backed Under49c212$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…8b1fbacked Under49c212$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d6…b010backed Under49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…1338backed Over51c207.8$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca3…b31dbacked Under49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ce…10ebbacked Over51c205.23$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9653849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed3…da5bbacked Over51c200.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf3…5274backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1dc…650fbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3464…530abacked Over51c198.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Over53c195.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1414152.5%74 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a92…5569backed Under49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52c6…564dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1759…6840backed Over51c192.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6392…9db9backed Over51c191.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc77…e4c7backed Over51c190.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadc…3d6ebacked Over51c187.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa32f…78c2backed Under49c184$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6655…3e76backed Under49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under49c176.33$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.415245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under46c173.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.819545.3%43 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c172.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5224…fe61backed Over50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.615257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.