Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc8d0244a880a988fc42fa352f9d0f9700e4bb8a9c50765a2bc0263bd721f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Tigersof Vanderbilt Commodores, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 120,125$58,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,861.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Missouri Tigers | 51c | 109,876$56,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,839.09 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 27,784$13,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,154 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 20,000$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 12,023$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.6 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 6,527$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.73 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Missouri Tigers | 49c | 4,673$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.73 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 3,902$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.86 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 3,663$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 51c | 2,491$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Missouri Tigers | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 1,797$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.38 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 46c | 1,569$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.9 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Missouri Tigers | 54c | 1,077$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.19 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 46c | 623.28$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 479.82$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 472.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 348.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 301.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 228$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 222.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 164.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 137$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 46c | 109.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 109.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 95.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 69.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 66.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 46c | 47.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…9f35backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 40.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Missouri Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 34.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 34.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 32.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 31.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 31.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Missouri Tigers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-4.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri TigersMissouri Tigers won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.