NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f3ae09174e6c0c2154b85dd3c91b3265c1692cede0374d9c50db6b055b90e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,185,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 424,245$224,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,522.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 300,620$155,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,322.25 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 160,473$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Nuggets | 47c | 122,500$57,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,925 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 80,748$38,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,744.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Nuggets | 48c | 55,555$26,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,888.6 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 47c | 40,994$19,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,604.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 38,145$19,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,072.68 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 35,260$16,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,338.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 30,177$14,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,693.92 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 29,730$14,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,567.61 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 49c | 29,239$14,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,900.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 48c | 28,999$13,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,055.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 48c | 21,073$10,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,910.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 17,148$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,897.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…c834backed Nuggets | 50c | 13,800$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 13,326$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,652.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 12,788$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.34 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 49c | 11,565$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.07 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,354$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,006$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets | 48c | 8,213$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.76 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,993$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.69 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,487$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…d713backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,636$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.88 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.6 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 48c | 4,581$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.96 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,284$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.97 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,207$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.72 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,160$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.89 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,074$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.98 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,814$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.81 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,756$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.49 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,530$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…a6fabacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 58c | 3,445$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.59 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…249bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,188$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,133$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.65 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…3a81backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,043$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.07 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,986$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.71 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…5c9ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,890$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,857$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,745$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…8bd6backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,634$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…22cabacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,566$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…b0c4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…c251backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,515$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…2611backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,488$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,444$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…25f1backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,411$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,389$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,371$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.43 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…05cfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,355$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…fa94backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,339$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a316backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,309$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…df87backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,244$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,229$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.17 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…9825backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,211$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…0aaebacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,179$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…6019backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,159$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…b93ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,144$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…2b29backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,135$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…697bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,131$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…f94fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,102$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…951fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,980$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.39 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…2f84backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,933$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,928$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…f1e2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,922$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,893$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.71 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,866$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…82b5backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,855$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…bc04backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,844$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…e49ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,833$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…9e1ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,817$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…4eb8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,772$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…7de9backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,759$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…c9eabacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,744$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…adbebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,733$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,733$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.25 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 253.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 255.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 256.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 257.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 258.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.