NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35319e5fdae2fc954342208b673c323d525ce821de7292d88d080176fab81c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,526 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Over | 49c | 48,199$23,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,781.17 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,099.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…7119backed Under | 51c | 13,579$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,943.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 11,827$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,082.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 52c | 9,077$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 8,791$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 5,053$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.98 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348d…f060backed Under | 51c | 4,687$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…0cffbacked Under | 51c | 4,548$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.44 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…57d4backed Under | 51c | 3,911$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 3,831$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 3,340$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.54 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…a6fabacked Under | 51c | 2,309$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 51c | 2,227$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.77 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,961$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.5 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…f94fbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 1,771$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.3 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 1,494$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 1,375$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.04 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.89 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Under | 52c | 430$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 75c | 333.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 304.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 19c | 249.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 51c | 226$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 50c | 217.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…4e88backed Under | 53c | 171.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 50c | 96.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 51c | 89.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 47.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 67c | 45.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Under | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 51c | 37.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 30.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 27.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 26.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Under | 52c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 51c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 79c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 253.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 255.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 256.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 257.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 258.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.