TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,676 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Under52c7,003$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.4517250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c6,885$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Under49c6,096$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Over0c5,238$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+86.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcd…19debacked Over47c4,814$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477b…6731backed Under53c4,601$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d23…4e6ebacked Under53c4,335$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…891bbacked Over47c3,976$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under51c3,943$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.0219346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd5…5dd6backed Over47c3,814$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…2b01backed Over47c3,615$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeca…98f1backed Under53c3,601$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7519…c51fbacked Under53c3,568$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f4…2cbfbacked Under53c3,411$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2c…6f48backed Over47c3,059$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…a766backed Over47c3,002$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ab…acc5backed Under53c3,002$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ea…c60fbacked Under53c3,002$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43bb…b34ebacked Under53c2,781$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f0…81eebacked Over47c2,731$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x983f…2c3abacked Under53c2,647$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95f…be66backed Under53c2,519$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef2…0f60backed Under53c2,516$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…8345backed Over47c2,488$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5677…894ebacked Over47c2,482$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d38…0b73backed Over47c2,480$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd2…0a86backed Under53c2,466$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb429…aec0backed Under53c2,452$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e13…1420backed Over47c2,447$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00e…4069backed Over47c2,442$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f7…8dd4backed Over47c2,442$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd4…840bbacked Under53c2,438$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96e…5d93backed Over47c2,433$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb7…1725backed Under53c2,407$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb45…aca7backed Under53c2,360$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f8…ae35backed Over47c2,313$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over47c2,313$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0872231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under48c2,300$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19610556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7fb…a8c4backed Over47c2,258$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06cd…6af7backed Over47c2,248$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…2a39backed Under53c2,246$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c00…f8aebacked Over47c2,217$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5f…2b67backed Over47c2,172$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3268…b410backed Under53c2,157$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…d2d2backed Over47c2,147$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f29…f58abacked Under53c2,131$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9486…35c1backed Under53c2,125$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb95…838ebacked Under53c2,123$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…c603backed Over47c2,121$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a0…e51abacked Over47c2,121$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad5e…0f29backed Under53c2,119$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…fc2fbacked Over47c2,116$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cb…b0b6backed Over47c2,104$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1b…ff50backed Over47c2,095$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…a201backed Over47c2,090$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d2b…24b9backed Over47c2,072$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bd…16b1backed Under53c2,068$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e42…23fcbacked Under53c2,053$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…8baabacked Under53c2,046$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d73…4bf6backed Under53c2,046$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3afd…ff09backed Over47c2,045$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…3873backed Over47c2,042$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…1755backed Over47c2,033$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b0e…dc5dbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc69…aa49backed Under53c1,999$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556a…1d86backed Over47c1,995$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa4…cf77backed Under53c1,977$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb854…53eebacked Under53c1,941$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over48c1,930$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.49629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73be…f77dbacked Over47c1,914$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…f834backed Under53c1,897$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4db…728abacked Over47c1,848$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5f…321fbacked Over47c1,835$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x042a…6be9backed Over47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x837f…ee2cbacked Under53c1,785$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3604…602bbacked Over47c1,782$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d12…a398backed Under53c1,772$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…a1a1backed Under53c1,772$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ac…ab52backed Over47c1,770$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…3edebacked Under53c1,747$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x028e…8111backed Under53c1,743$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7223…a43abacked Over47c1,735$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1d…700dbacked Under53c1,735$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1138…7559backed Under53c1,728$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…bd03backed Over47c1,721$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b21…d938backed Under53c1,705$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f3…dda1backed Over47c1,699$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10da…64cdbacked Under53c1,695$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf321…18b7backed Over47c1,677$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.677951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8e…a309backed Over47c1,647$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4a…ceb8backed Over47c1,644$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a7…511abacked Over47c1,633$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under1c1,611$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.1721640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f01…ef12backed Over47c1,611$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd736…34f9backed Under53c1,599$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3aa…b798backed Under53c1,594$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6f…47f4backed Under53c1,592$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.