NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e15bfe9a5daabca8e5a56e96e390480015e478fc0ba39241cf0bd6c6d16a89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 55c | 365,346$200,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,940.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 45c | 274,803$123,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,814.2 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 46c | 250,000$115,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,000 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 244,676$110,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,183.39 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 129,392$70,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,416.59 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 54c | 63,112$34,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,080.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Under | 54c | 45,055$24,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,329.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 55c | 44,390$24,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,414.5 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 21,890$12,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,163.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 54c | 18,349$9,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,908.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 55c | 17,255$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.45 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 54c | 17,011$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180.01 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 55c | 11,313$6,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,258.28 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 10,379$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.14 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 54c | 9,035$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.9 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 54c | 8,108$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.37 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…92e0backed Under | 54c | 7,321$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 55c | 7,227$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.85 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.92 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 5,462$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.87 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 4,951$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.98 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked Under | 54c | 3,520$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 57c | 3,515$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 54c | 3,344$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.76 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 2,112$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.52 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,008$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.65 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 45c | 1,934$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.9 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 1,730$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.47 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 56c | 1,528$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.17 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.51 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 1,215$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.25 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 991$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 46c | 880.01$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.29 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Under | 54c | 879.98$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.19 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 42c | 876.19$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Under | 56c | 870.18$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 19c | 777.03$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 655.17$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 645.17$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 43c | 612.72$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.25 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 57c | 559.67$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 432$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 45c | 403.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.41 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 54c | 402.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 55c | 394.74$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…cd69backed Under | 55c | 380.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 55c | 375.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 55c | 359.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 59c | 331.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 56c | 327$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 325.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 44c | 297$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…9723backed Over | 47c | 253.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 55c | 244.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 70c | 239.84$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 45c | 220.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Under | 56c | 219.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 46c | 218.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 55c | 216.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 55c | 215.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 54c | 209.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 46c | 204.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 55c | 203.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 33c | 202.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Over | 55c | 186.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 183.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 46c | 179.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 45c | 169$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…e53bbacked Over | 65c | 144.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 143.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 45c | 139.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Under | 29c | 137.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 60c | 133.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…136cbacked Over | 46c | 123.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Under | 56c | 123.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 56c | 123.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 45c | 118.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 55c | 117.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 71c | 116.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 44c | 115.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 46c | 113.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. IslandersBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.