NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8558746e9cd8e3a9045e99c3cffa727e924a0848c2d6e9ceb4fbf5af6c160932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Islanders, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Blackhawks | 62c | 2,814$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.26 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Islanders | 38c | 2,692$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.5 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Islanders | 39c | 2,053$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Blackhawks | 60c | 2,033$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.12 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 40c | 1,483$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.78 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Blackhawks | 61c | 1,459$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.05 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blackhawks | 62c | 1,066$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 39c | 710$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Islanders | 40c | 555$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Islanders | 37c | 538$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Blackhawks | 62c | 461.05$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Islanders | 38c | 440$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Blackhawks | 60c | 439.27$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 367.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…0b33backed Blackhawks | 60c | 353.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…8419backed Blackhawks | 60c | 353.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…1f10backed Blackhawks | 60c | 347.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…e175backed Blackhawks | 60c | 347.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…af91backed Islanders | 41c | 346.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…bf4abacked Islanders | 41c | 343.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Islanders | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6213…ece5backed Islanders | 41c | 336.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…bda4backed Islanders | 41c | 333.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Islanders | 39c | 322.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Islanders | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Islanders | 40c | 243.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 37c | 211.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Islanders | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Islanders | 39c | 150.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Blackhawks | 69c | 127$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 31c | 111.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blackhawks | 61c | 81.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Islanders | 36c | 74.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 72.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Islanders | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Islanders | 39c | 66.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Islanders | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Blackhawks | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Islanders | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Islanders | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Blackhawks | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blackhawks | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Islanders | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Blackhawks | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Islanders | 42c | 36.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Blackhawks | 61c | 36.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Blackhawks | 62c | 33.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Islanders | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 61c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Islanders | 48c | 21.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Blackhawks | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. IslandersBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.