TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Villanova Wildcatsof Villanova Wildcats, Xavier Musketeers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61e0…4b62backed Villanova Wildcats78c9,428$7,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.392075%15 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers31c7,687$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Xavier Musketeers28c6,919$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.0334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Villanova Wildcats79c5,360$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.575550.9%28 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers32c3,258$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.012,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Xavier Musketeers37c2,975$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.8999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Xavier Musketeers34c2,676$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Xavier Musketeers32c2,675$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.1570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Villanova Wildcats69c2,470$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.1637947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Xavier Musketeers27c2,376$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.811,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Xavier Musketeers27c2,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.322,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Xavier Musketeers16c2,098$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5150…3f69backed Villanova Wildcats79c2,094$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.398100%8 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers30c1,997$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.562,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Villanova Wildcats67c1,967$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.211,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Xavier Musketeers23c1,910$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.691,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Villanova Wildcats77c1,820$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.862,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Villanova Wildcats65c1,813$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.842871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Villanova Wildcats77c1,730$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.259444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats69c1,725$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.725,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Villanova Wildcats66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Xavier Musketeers43c1,455$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Xavier Musketeers20c1,409$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Xavier Musketeers32c1,400$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.032429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Villanova Wildcats67c1,338$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.223046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Xavier Musketeers36c1,222$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.761,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Villanova Wildcats67c1,185$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.951553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Villanova Wildcats64c1,163$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.8689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Villanova Wildcats47c1,076$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Villanova Wildcats67c1,074$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.261,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Villanova Wildcats57c1,000$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4275740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Xavier Musketeers36c998.61$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.54037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Xavier Musketeers35c849.04$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.161,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Villanova Wildcats68c844.06$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4830649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Xavier Musketeers37c820.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Xavier Musketeers34c800$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Villanova Wildcats69c779$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.231,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Xavier Musketeers26c749.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.84,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Villanova Wildcats69c674.19$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.31,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Villanova Wildcats77c652$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Villanova Wildcats64c638.76$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Xavier Musketeers8c638.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Villanova Wildcats67c633.93$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.031,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Villanova Wildcats68c628.16$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.561,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Xavier Musketeers32c625.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Villanova Wildcats69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7114930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Xavier Musketeers26c548.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.551,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers37c521.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.754,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Villanova Wildcats61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19510451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Villanova Wildcats49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Villanova Wildcats65c471.76$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.125740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Xavier Musketeers29c468.89$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7511439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Xavier Musketeers32c437.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xavier Musketeers35c389.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.252,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Villanova Wildcats65c386.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Villanova Wildcats64c376.33$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf9…ce61backed Villanova Wildcats64c366.17$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Xavier Musketeers31c355.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Villanova Wildcats64c351.56$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.562962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Villanova Wildcats62c322.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.741764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f8…ec5fbacked Villanova Wildcats65c321.54$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Villanova Wildcats60c317$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5522157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17de…fb7abacked Xavier Musketeers37c316.9$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Xavier Musketeers35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10524737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Xavier Musketeers32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…59fcbacked Villanova Wildcats65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Villanova Wildcats67c300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9825254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Xavier Musketeers26c299.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Xavier Musketeers34c291.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993033.3%10 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…eec3backed Xavier Musketeers35c287.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.84341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Xavier Musketeers31c279.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.143148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Xavier Musketeers34c274.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.781,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd665…ecc8backed Xavier Musketeers37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb88…8e33backed Villanova Wildcats78c267.83$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Xavier Musketeers33c264.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Villanova Wildcats65c261.52$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.531637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Xavier Musketeers12c238.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Villanova Wildcats66c231.48$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6315947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Xavier Musketeers30c222.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.33,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Villanova Wildcats52c221.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ea…7b2fbacked Xavier Musketeers28c208.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+71.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Villanova Wildcats58c206.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5915055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Villanova Wildcats61c205$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.271,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e8…c9e1backed Villanova Wildcats67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Xavier Musketeers23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Xavier Musketeers25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Xavier Musketeers31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Xavier Musketeers36c191.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Villanova Wildcats53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Xavier Musketeers32c187.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1242339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Villanova Wildcats66c182.61$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0924649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Xavier Musketeers34c180.77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.897346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Villanova Wildcats72c180.48$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5414451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Villanova Wildcats68c176.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.523,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Xavier Musketeers33c176.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.85162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Villanova Wildcats64c170.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4935646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Xavier Musketeers36c169.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6125049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Xavier Musketeers31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f6…07dbbacked Xavier Musketeers37c161.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de3…5671backed Xavier Musketeers37c160$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.