NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210a7b70512aaa46601f55af4496368a8e4e25634d7849a6e835f24a96fd198e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $853,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $853,325 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 51c | 331,093$167,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,968.91 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jazz | 51c | 274,451$139,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,969.9 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 49c | 253,698$124,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,386.22 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bucks | 51c | 132,000$66,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,279.93 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 49c | 95,322$46,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,604.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 49c | 47,589$23,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,318.13 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 50c | 29,617$14,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,808.41 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Jazz | 49c | 20,409$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Jazz | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bucks | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.11 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 52c | 12,129$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.91 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Jazz | 49c | 10,818$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 48c | 9,689$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Jazz | 49c | 9,087$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.3 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…cbf3backed Jazz | 49c | 8,755$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bucks | 50c | 8,431$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks | 50c | 7,498$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.87 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.09 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Jazz | 49c | 5,469$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 53c | 5,186$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 51c | 5,020$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.06 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 48c | 4,843$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Bucks | 50c | 4,833$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 48c | 4,765$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 50c | 4,708$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Jazz | 49c | 4,426$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.74 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jazz | 50c | 3,860$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.06 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 48c | 3,401$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Jazz | 49c | 2,761$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.7 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Jazz | 49c | 2,081$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Bucks | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Jazz | 56c | 1,944$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Jazz | 55c | 1,824$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz | 50c | 1,810$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.12 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Bucks | 52c | 1,721$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.63 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,697$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 50c | 1,578$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 50c | 1,557$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 48c | 1,411$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 46c | 1,390$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 48c | 1,328$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,296$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.85 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Bucks | 49c | 1,050$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.48 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Jazz | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bucks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Bucks | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Jazz | 39c | 852.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.45 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Jazz | 50c | 823.35$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Bucks | 50c | 752.95$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.07 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Jazz | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Bucks | 51c | 685.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.05 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bucks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 51c | 588.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Jazz | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Bucks | 51c | 581.04$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Bucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks | 48c | 492.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bucks | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 55c | 429.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 50c | 429$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz | 48c | 412$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Bucks | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Bucks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 380.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Jazz | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Bucks | 50c | 320.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Bucks | 51c | 305.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Bucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Bucks | 52c | 288.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Bucks | 52c | 279.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz | 51c | 276.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Jazz | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Jazz | 48c | 258.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Bucks | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Bucks | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Bucks | 51c | 226.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Bucks | 51c | 225.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Bucks | 57c | 212.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 50c | 210.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Bucks | 52c | 206.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Jazz | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Jazz | 49c | 199.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Bucks | 50c | 198.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Bucks | 52c | 192.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.