NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e126eba42042f73adcb3717fed93277f06edc4591173bd1f835c5f2a75fa34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,812 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks | 41c | 56,923$23,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,424.36 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz | 61c | 41,206$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Jazz | 59c | 33,176$19,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,573.99 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 58c | 15,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 36c | 12,581$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 41c | 8,867$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 58c | 7,064$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 42c | 4,950$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 57c | 4,035$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 42c | 3,880$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 41c | 3,664$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…f9c9backed Bucks | 43c | 3,297$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 42c | 2,638$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 41c | 1,700$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Bucks | 60c | 1,541$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.16 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bucks | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jazz | 46c | 1,320$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.46 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 43c | 1,319$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Jazz | 58c | 999.35$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.62 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Jazz | 68c | 737.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 41c | 710.81$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Bucks | 42c | 699.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.52 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 50c | 599.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz | 59c | 566.12$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.69 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Jazz | 57c | 549.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Jazz | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Jazz | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 42c | 405$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks | 40c | 325.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 55c | 251.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jazz | 44c | 248.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 42c | 239.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Bucks | 43c | 232.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Jazz | 6c | 231.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Jazz | 44c | 224.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 44c | 211.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Bucks | 42c | 199.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 42c | 191.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked Jazz | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Jazz | 57c | 147.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Jazz | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks | 43c | 134.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Bucks | 43c | 116.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 47c | 112.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucks | 45c | 107.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bucks | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Bucks | 43c | 105.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Bucks | 49c | 103.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks | 55c | 101.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Jazz | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Bucks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bucks | 43c | 99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…27c3backed Jazz | 54c | 94.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 42c | 92.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Jazz | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Jazz | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Jazz | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Bucks | 37c | 81.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Jazz | 57c | 67.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 45c | 66.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bucks | 43c | 58.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Bucks | 33c | 52.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Jazz | 58c | 51.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Jazz | 58c | 50.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bucks | 43c | 46.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Bucks | 58c | 46.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Bucks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucks | 48c | 39.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Bucks | 50c | 37.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Bucks | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Bucks | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Bucks | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Bucks | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Jazz | 58c | 34.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Bucks | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jazz | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Bucks | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Jazz | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Jazz | 47c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 42c | 24.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Bucks | 51c | 24.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Bucks | 43c | 24.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Jazz | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks | 53c | 22.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Jazz | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Bucks | 66c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…aacebacked Jazz | 64c | 17.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.