TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,812 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks41c56,923$23,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,424.3628649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz61c41,206$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Jazz59c33,176$19,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,573.9919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz58c15,000$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,75048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks36c12,581$4,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,042.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks41c8,867$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz58c7,064$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks42c4,950$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz57c4,035$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.622,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks42c3,880$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks41c3,664$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.453,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d7…f9c9backed Bucks43c3,297$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks42c2,638$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks41c1,700$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Bucks60c1,541$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1611142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bucks37c1,500$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks40c1,400$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz46c1,320$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.462,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks43c1,319$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz58c999.35$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6295641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Jazz68c737.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks41c710.81$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Bucks42c699.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jazz50c599.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz59c566.12$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.693,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Jazz57c549.24$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.078361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Jazz58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Jazz7c500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3630224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucks42c405$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.91,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks40c325.42$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz55c251.62$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz44c248.81$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks42c239.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Bucks43c232.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7810940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Jazz6c231.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Jazz44c224.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks44c211.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.291,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Bucks42c199.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2914046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks42c191.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Jazz58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Jazz57c147.45$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.417046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Jazz58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks43c134.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.831,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Bucks43c116.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.53727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks47c112.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.263,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bucks45c107.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.341,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Bucks56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Bucks43c105.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Bucks49c103.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0820650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks55c101.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.011,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Jazz45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Bucks44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.620847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bucks43c99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.431,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…27c3backed Jazz54c94.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks42c92.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks47c88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Jazz58c86.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Jazz58c86.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Jazz58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Bucks37c81.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Jazz57c67.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks45c66.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.075,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Bucks43c58.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Bucks33c52.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2714858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Jazz58c51.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Jazz58c50.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1420762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Bucks43c46.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7737842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x530a…4961backed Bucks58c46.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Bucks43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.519844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucks48c39.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Bucks50c37.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Bucks43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9532747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Bucks43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Bucks43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9527345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Bucks43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9532947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Jazz58c34.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Bucks51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8436154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jazz64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Bucks42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.48648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Jazz43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.919166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Jazz47c25.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks42c24.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.493,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Bucks51c24.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9310145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Bucks43c24.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7128147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Jazz59c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6539055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks53c22.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Jazz58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.594837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Bucks66c19.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5527357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2333…aacebacked Jazz64c17.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.