NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f79f5bed349838fb2a402e60aa466081c800f37eabcfd306b07d96fe2e0ee56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,448 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Jazz | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Bucks | 50c | 20,317$10,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,158.5 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz | 53c | 10,056$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.47 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Bucks | 47c | 9,464$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.92 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 47c | 7,800$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Bucks | 47c | 5,300$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.9 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 47c | 5,230$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jazz | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 47c | 4,773$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 47c | 3,578$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.37 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 46c | 2,721$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 46c | 2,605$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Bucks | 47c | 2,443$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.89 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz | 54c | 2,090$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.8 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Jazz | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 51c | 1,846$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 53c | 1,744$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,508$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.74 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 54c | 1,031$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bucks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Bucks | 46c | 967.17$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 48c | 874.39$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Bucks | 46c | 829.18$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.18 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Bucks | 46c | 771.26$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.55 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Jazz | 49c | 670.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 46c | 657$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.78 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz | 53c | 549.97$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 53c | 515.46$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jazz | 54c | 451.9$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 53c | 392.92$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Jazz | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 54c | 346.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Bucks | 47c | 335.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bucks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks | 47c | 272.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 45c | 253.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Jazz | 54c | 217.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 47c | 203.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Jazz | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Bucks | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Bucks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Jazz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Bucks | 51c | 182.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 49c | 181.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucks | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Jazz | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Bucks | 45c | 148$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Bucks | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Jazz | 54c | 132.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks | 46c | 131.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Jazz | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 45c | 121.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Jazz | 54c | 119.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Bucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Bucks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bucks | 47c | 99.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 48c | 96.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Jazz | 53c | 94.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…7753backed Jazz | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucks | 46c | 89.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks | 47c | 85.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Bucks | 46c | 82.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Jazz | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Bucks | 47c | 72.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Jazz | 53c | 72.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Bucks | 49c | 69.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Bucks | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Bucks | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Jazz | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Bucks | 47c | 58.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 44c | 57.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Jazz | 56c | 55.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bucks | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Jazz | 56c | 51.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Bucks | 49c | 51.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Bucks | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Jazz | 54c | 48.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Bucks | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Bucks | 50c | 40.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bucks | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Bucks | 46c | 39.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Bucks | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Jazz | 54c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Bucks | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Bucks | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Jazz | 65c | 32.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jazz | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…f088backed Bucks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.