TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,448 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Jazz50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Bucks50c20,317$10,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,158.523147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz53c10,056$5,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,329.4787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bucks47c9,464$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.9222143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks47c7,800$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,135.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Bucks47c5,300$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.99352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks47c5,230$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jazz54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks47c4,773$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks47c3,578$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.371,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks46c2,721$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks46c2,605$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Bucks47c2,443$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.899742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz54c2,090$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.814448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Jazz54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz51c1,846$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz53c1,744$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.542,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Bucks50c1,508$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7543831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucks47c1,301$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.741,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Jazz54c1,031$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.7287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bucks46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54071547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Bucks46c967.17$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.1758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks48c874.39$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Bucks46c829.18$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Bucks46c771.26$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.5524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Jazz49c670.99$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.795945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucks46c657$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.781,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz53c549.97$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Jazz53c515.46$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jazz54c451.9$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.954549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bucks47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz53c392.92$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.253,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Jazz54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz54c346.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.474,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked Bucks47c335.31$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bucks53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Bucks51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1252146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks47c272.34$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3451146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks45c253.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x157c…3657backed Jazz54c217.74$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks47c203.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Jazz53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Bucks46c199.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.988353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Bucks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Jazz54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bucks51c182.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bucks49c181.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.592,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bucks50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Jazz53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.44156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Bucks45c148$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Bucks47c134.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.047356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Jazz54c132.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.56654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks46c131.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2755846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Jazz56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks45c121.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.531,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Jazz54c119.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.31,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Bucks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Bucks46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bucks47c99.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.681,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks48c96.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.173,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Jazz53c94.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1522948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Jazz54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bucks46c89.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.091,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks47c85.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Bucks46c82.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2814046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Jazz54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Bucks47c72.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7223349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Jazz53c72.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2420847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Bucks49c69.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.433441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Bucks46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2225753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Bucks47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.927048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Jazz55c62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.138252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d95…373fbacked Bucks47c58.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks44c57.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Jazz56c55.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8815857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Bucks47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf34…9a33backed Jazz56c51.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.022040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Bucks49c51.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1340541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Bucks47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.558145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Jazz54c48.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Bucks50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2223350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Bucks50c40.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2820949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bucks45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ce7…7cfabacked Bucks46c39.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Bucks47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.365950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Jazz54c37.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Bucks47c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1754854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Bucks47c35.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.942657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Jazz65c32.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Bucks50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jazz53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Bucks50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Bucks50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1527345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Bucks50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca77…f088backed Bucks51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.