NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60b897c2800b22eaed368467cfa747466425fb774f0e32f83c252b547a180a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,522 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 9,717$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 50c | 8,550$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…b48ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 5,914$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 4,836$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 42c | 4,503$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,384$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.34 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 2,420$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 2,301$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,664$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 1,161$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,074$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 45c | 981$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.45 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 942.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 860.44$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 50c | 819.37$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.69 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 62c | 808.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 746$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…e855backed Over | 32c | 621$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 38c | 618.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 542.53$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 359$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 41c | 346$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 62c | 322.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 314.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 186.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 41c | 173$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 52c | 120.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 41c | 86.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 78.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 41c | 73.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 41c | 72.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 71.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…05ecbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 60.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 55c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 67c | 45.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 41c | 45.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 43c | 44.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…6288backed Under | 53c | 41.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 36.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7af9backed Under | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Over | 45c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 25.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Over | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 61c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.