NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9120a59591a136c2f8c12a036d4b3f9672f9e68a8055ea414b53748be6e83c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,498 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f4a…55d2backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…1280backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 50c | 3,965$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 42c | 3,386$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.38 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 3,110$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 55c | 2,230$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 18c | 1,477$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,421$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Under | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 709.01$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 574.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…e855backed Over | 30c | 568$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Under | 50c | 427.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 8c | 399.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 374$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 58c | 329$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 70c | 260.29$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 54c | 257.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 192.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 62c | 170.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 153.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 126.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 30c | 76.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 44c | 62.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 69c | 58.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 30c | 51.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 42c | 51.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 42c | 50.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 48.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 46c | 41.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 67c | 37.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…35b7backed Over | 39c | 36.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Under | 58c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 61c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 72c | 32.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 58c | 30.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…7731backed Under | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 23.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 71c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…d397backed Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…7441backed Under | 61c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jazz vs. BucksBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.