Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1f35a43a8726f84c3fef73634a6c4091be86969c4d60225ab38e3a576da439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 64c | 64,667$41,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,068.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 43,146$18,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,120.96 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 19,005$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 56c | 17,674$9,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,909 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 43c | 16,349$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,318.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 15,562$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,621.93 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 13,559$7,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.31 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 13,389$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.91 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 42c | 13,130$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.37 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 2c | 13,112$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 42c | 13,028$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,556.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 59c | 11,814$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 10,334$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,061.37 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 42c | 9,048$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked No | 22c | 8,038$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,238.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.97 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 7,466$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.97 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 7,442$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.86 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 43c | 7,005$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 35c | 6,444$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.64 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 42c | 6,234$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.83 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 58c | 6,034$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 5,746$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 43c | 5,290$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.3 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 59c | 4,999$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 25c | 4,626$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.58 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 43c | 4,279$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.07 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Yes | 58c | 4,120$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 4,040$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,332$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,302$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 3,092$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.67 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 21c | 2,665$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.91 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,622$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 59c | 2,610$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.65 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 44c | 2,600$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,569$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 43c | 2,565$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 60c | 2,215$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.62 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 35c | 2,201$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 58c | 2,155$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 42c | 2,100$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.92 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,073$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 48c | 1,986$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 33c | 1,884$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 58c | 1,788$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.04 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 43c | 1,569$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 57c | 1,563$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.51 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 58c | 1,560$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Yes | 58c | 1,484$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,470$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 25c | 1,409$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Yes | 59c | 1,407$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 36c | 1,353$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 41c | 1,340$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 4c | 1,203$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…335ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,201$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 57c | 1,190$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.65 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 27c | 1,179$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.74 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 42c | 1,175$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.42 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 59c | 1,081$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,075$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.22 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,064$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 48c | 1,047$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.04 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…d870backed Yes | 34c | 1,046$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 58c | 991.38$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 59c | 953.7$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 41c | 935$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 932.2$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 46c | 928.78$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.07 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 59c | 888$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…772ebacked No | 43c | 880$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 46c | 863.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 58c | 856.34$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Yes | 58c | 830$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…91b9backed Yes | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 39c | 730.47$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.